So last year I had a good amount of early season success by getting ahead of the game on power rankings.
Now my strategy seemed to work well for the first 2 weeks or so but then it is kind of dead.
Here is what I did:
1. Put Ken Pomroy's 2015 pre-season power rankings into a spreadsheet.
2. Put Ken Pomroy's 2014 end of season power rankings into another tab on the spreadsheet.
3. Calculate the difference between 2014 end of season (analytical) and 2015 pre season (opinion).
4. Make adjustments to the difference based on my own assessment.
- This is a very laborious process, you have to go conference by conference, team by team
5. Calculate my own power ratings (neutral/home/away spread ratings) based on my projected AdjO, AdjD, and AdjT
Now I know most people arent going to be looking at college hoops until tip off, but really I have to get all my work done before tip off to make it worth while. Everyone has heard you cant make money by just betting KenPom's #s, but you can make money using his excellent analytics and applying a second set of eyes to validate his changes. This system also only works for the first few weeks of the season because after that the actual analytics have caught up.
I plan to do all of my own ratings, but if there are any of you on here that consider yourselves experts in certain conferences, maybe we can divvy up the work (I would consider myself a bit of an A-10 expert). Also happy to share and/or walk through the spreadsheet if anyone is interested.
Lets get 'em!
PS here is an example of my spreadsheet: