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Dave's Tuesday Work - Free Play

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Thread Starter Dave's Tuesday Work - Free Play
Dave Essler
Joined: 11/01/2009
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I took the title upon myself there would be more ambiguous speculation in the forums, and he's been busy defending things that are a waste of his time. Plus, if people lose money on this information I can blame someone else. Add that to the fact that some levity would help.

Florida at Tennessee: Quick rematch from a drubbing the Vols took recently in Gainesville where they scored 41 points and went 1-19 from behind the arc. My only question here is whether it's the Vols AND under or the just the under. Florida has Kentucky in Lexington next, so there's just no way I could take Florida here. Expecting this to be about a PK with a total around 127 and would think the early move(s) would be towards UF and the under. Last year the Vols won eight of their last nine, so finishing strong with only one bad loss to Texas A & M will go a long way towards their post season hopes. Much bigger game for them than Florida.

Oklahoma State at Texas: The obvious question is what effect Marcus Smart's absence has on the numbers, but for sure it will be some type of over reaction. Texas also has in-season revenge from a 13 point loss in Stillwater earlier, but I always find taking Texas and their poor free throw shooting hard at times. However, they do get to the line enough to make up for it in quantity. Two home losses by a total of 7 points to Michigan State and Oklahoma, so they're not going easy with or without Smart. Loss of Smart only leaves Forte at 5'11" to shoot from the outside. Cowboys only road win was a one point win over West Virginia, and having lose four straight it might be tough to back them. Bottom line is can Texas really be that easy or will the number be prohibitive. Might look hard at this under, figuring it won't be adjusted as much as the side and the Cowboys may well suffer from more turnovers. 

Xavier at Butler: Not often in the last few years that Butler will be a home underdog, probably slightly, and given their fall from grace they still play enough defense to be taken seriously. They're all of 2-9 in Conference play, which is almost a dangerous team to be playing right now if your Xavier. I know Butler's got an unhappy Creighton team coming in next, but when you're in the Bulldogs spot there really is no look-ahead's anymore. Xavier's only Conference road win was at DePaul, and they're only 6-4 in the Big East so perhaps a little over valued here in name only. Xavier does not, for all their defensive accolades, create turnovers, and Butler doesn't turn the ball over. Xavier only has three more home games, and two are against Creighton and Villanova, so the pressure is squarely on them, which is why I lean Butler here.

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Of any big win we have had, or winning streak, or even coming out of a losing streak, of this I am most proud:

Some forum posters have broken into the industry and have achieved moderate success while carrying themselves with professionalism and integrity. Dave Essler, of the pick-selling site Pregame, immediately comes to mind.

I still want to know if all these people on Twitter and Pick-Selling sites claim to have beaten up books for years, I would think there would be no places left to place wagers.

 

"I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!"

DubV
Joined: 08/29/2011
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Yes Awesome stuff.

Eric Cogdell
Joined: 11/25/2009
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You didn't post your record Dub, very sneaky you are.

DubV
Joined: 08/29/2011
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lol

Eric Cogdell
Joined: 11/25/2009
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 btw.. Nice write-ups as always Dave.

Dave Essler
Joined: 11/01/2009
Posts: 13912
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ericcogdell

You didn't post your record Dub, very sneaky you are.

Doesn't matter. Told you this morning. 28-1 or 1-28 does not matter. Just look at my NBA and MLB records for the last 12 months and ignore the marginal records. Short term doesn't matter. If I am winning short term people will think I am a hero and if I am losing short term then, well, I suck. It's just the way it is and won't change, try as I might. 0-0 in CBB today, which cannot be disputed. Just sayin'. 

Dave's Home Page w/Marble Count and Daily Message

Dave's 30 Day All Access Package

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Of any big win we have had, or winning streak, or even coming out of a losing streak, of this I am most proud:

Some forum posters have broken into the industry and have achieved moderate success while carrying themselves with professionalism and integrity. Dave Essler, of the pick-selling site Pregame, immediately comes to mind.

I still want to know if all these people on Twitter and Pick-Selling sites claim to have beaten up books for years, I would think there would be no places left to place wagers.

 

"I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!"

winninmoney
Joined: 12/05/2006
Posts: 374
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Man, I missed these write ups Dave. I know it's a lot of work, but it is outstanding info!!

Dave Essler
Joined: 11/01/2009
Posts: 13912
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ericcogdell

that was intended to follow Daves post. LOL  btw.. Nice write-ups Dave.

LOL. No harm, no foul. My record is not good enough to post, although we are up a few marbles in the last couple of weeks. If I went back four years it would be great in CBB, so let's just forget about the months that weren't very good. Hope all is well, Eric.

Dave's Home Page w/Marble Count and Daily Message

Dave's 30 Day All Access Package

Follow Dave on Twitter

Of any big win we have had, or winning streak, or even coming out of a losing streak, of this I am most proud:

Some forum posters have broken into the industry and have achieved moderate success while carrying themselves with professionalism and integrity. Dave Essler, of the pick-selling site Pregame, immediately comes to mind.

I still want to know if all these people on Twitter and Pick-Selling sites claim to have beaten up books for years, I would think there would be no places left to place wagers.

 

"I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!"

JonoYoungP4P
Joined: 09/29/2012
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GL Dave

Follow Me On Twitter: @JonoYoungP4P

Websitewww.LineCatchers.com - Free & Premium Plays posted here each and every day



Bama man
Joined: 10/15/2012
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Good luck to you guys on your wagers. I hope you all have a winning day.

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