Bracket Picking Rules & Tips from Vegas!(all records since modern era began in 1985 unless noted)FIRST ROUND picks:TIP: Pick ZERO #1 or #2 seeds to lose.#16 seeds are 0 for 112#15 seeds are 6 for 112TIP: Pick at least ONE #13 or #14 seed to win.At least one Top 4 seed has lost in the first round 24 of 28 years#13 and #14 seeds combined win 18% of first round gamesTIP: Don't be shy picking upsets with #12 through #9 seeds.#12 seeds have won at least one game 22 of 24 years#9 seeds are 4 wins above .500 vs. #8 seedsSECOND ROUND picks:TIP: Advance #1 seeds into the 3rd round unless very good reason not to.88% of #1 seeds advance to the Sweet 16 TIP: Keep advancing any #12 and #10 seeds you picked to win in Round One.#10 and #12 seeds combined win about half the time in Round Two#12 seeds have the same number of Sweet 16 appearances overall than #7 seedsA double digit seed has made the Sweet Sixteen 26 of 28 yearsTIP: Pick at least ONE upset of a #2 or #3 seed.Only once in 28 years has all the top three seeds (#1, #2, #3) made the Sweet SixteenTIP: Do NOT pick any seed worse than #12 to win in the 2nd round.Only 7 of 448 teams (1.6%) advancing past Round 2 were seeded worse than #12Sweet 16 round picks:TIP: Advance exactly three #1 seeds into the Elite 8.72% of #1 seeds make the Elite 8(that's a higher percentage than #5 seeds that win a single game!)TIP: Advance no team worse than a #11 seed into the Elite 826 have made it the Sweet 16, but only 1 has ever advancedElite 8 round picks:TIP: Advance exactly ONE or TWO #1 seeds to the Final Four.The Final Four has included exactly one or two #1 seeds 22 of 28 yearsTIP: Advance no team worse than a #8 seed to the Final Four.Only 3 of 112 Final Four teams have been seeded worse than #8FINAL FOUR round picks:TIP: Advance NO team worse than a #6 seed to the Championship game.Only ONE team worse than #6 has made it in last 27 yearsTIP: Do NOT advance TWO #1 seeds to Championship gameOnly 6 times since 1979 has two #1 seeds made the finalsCHAMPIONSHIP GAME pick:TIP: Pick a #4 seed or better to win it all.For 24 straight years the champion has been a #4 seed or better!
RJ Bell - Pregame.com Founder & CEO | Twitter: @RJinVegasFriday: NBA Playoff Odds - Series & Title
Thanks RJ! you saved me looking this up from last year.
It's go time!