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CBB PAC-12 WED Cougs at Sparky | Dawgs at #12 Cats

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Thread Starter CBB PAC-12 WED Cougs at Sparky | Dawgs at #12 Cats
Stevebeav
Joined: 10/09/2007
Posts: 6880
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Basement-dwelling Cougars vs. Stop-n-Go Devils in Tempe

Wed Feb 20, 2013 | 10:05 PM, EST | PAC-12 Network
Wells Fargo Arena | Tempe, Arizona

WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS 11-15 (2-11 Conf)
ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS 19-7 (8-5 Conf)

WAZZU

PREDOMINANT 2012-2013 STARTERS
WZU 6-03 | 175 So Royce Woolridge
WZU 6-03 | 206 So DaVonte Lacy
WZU 6-06 | 182 So Dexter Kernich-Drew
WZU 6-10 | 245 Sr Brock Motum
WZU 6-10 | 250 Jr D.J. Shelton

KEY CONTRIBUTORS
WZU 6-05 | 190 Jr Will DiIorio
WZU 6-05 | 195 Sr Mike Ladd

Cellar-dwelling Washington State is noticeably jittery 
Cougs have lost BTB Home Games by 3 Total Points
Most recently, Wazzu lost to Conference Leading Ducks in OT

Not only have Cougs lost 6 in a Row & 1-8 Overall
Cougar ‘D’ has allowed 74.6 PPG during the slide

Nevertheless, WSU has reversed several ‘effort stats’ in the past few weeks

1.  WZU Assist|Turnover Ratio
Cougs were Dead-Last PAC-12 most of Season
Yet they’ve exceeding their Opponents A|T% 5 of last 7 Games

WZU Offensive Efficiency
Wazzu was #11 PAC-12 over fist Half of PAC-12 Season Offensive Efficiency &
Even w/Coug ‘D’ floundering a little lately
Wazzu has exceeded 1.0 Points per Possession in each of their last 7 Games

3.  WZU FT-Rate
WSU exceeded 5 of their last 7 Opponents Game FT Rate

4.  WZU 6-10 | 247 Sr BROCK MOTUM

At long last, Cougars have TRULY been finding an ‘Option B (even Option C’)
To the all-in w/Brock Motum’ dilemma
Motum has slipped from #1 PAC-12 Scorer in 2011-12 to #3 this season
Motum has scored in 20’s just 2x this year
After hitting in 20’s SEVEN times (34 AT AZST) Last Year in PAC-12 Games

Now, Lacy pouring in 27 vs. Beavers (including 7-9 Deep)
Then Woolridge ripping out a Career-High 36 vs. Ducks
Wazzu’s young starts are erratic yet gaining serious confidence dame to game

In addition, Wazzu could’ve folded up over these last few games
Cougs showed GRIT w/TWO Game-Tying Late 3’s vs. Oregon
First to FORCE OT, the Second to Tie Game at 77 before ORE Singler’s Winning FT’s  

5.  WZU 3-Point Shooting
Cougs continue to shoot well from deep
WZU was 14-28 in 2 Weekend Losses to OSU & Ore

ASU

PREDOMINANT 2012-2013 STARTERS
AZST 5-10 | 173 Fr Jahii Carson 
AZST 6-01 | 187 Jr Evan Gordon
AZST 6-06 | 197 Sr Carrick Felix  
AZST 6-07 | 215 So Jonathan Gilling
AZST 7-02 | 252 Jr Jordan Bachynski 

KEY CONTRIBUTOR
AZST 6-02 | 185 Sr Chris Colvin

ARIZONA STATE had 1-1 Weekend in the Mountains

Devils are fighting to stay in NCAA Tourney Hunt &
Devils numbers show texture of a team running low on energy
This might be elemental to Arizona State

AZST IS DEAD-LAST NCAA BENCH MIN (16.8% Min)

ASU is 2-3 Straight Up & 1-3-1 ATS last 5
AZST PACE Down Last 3 Games (PACE 58.7 Possessions/Game last 3)
After Devils had Pumped in 81 PPG game over a 4 Game Span
AZST 8.2 Three’s Made/Gm last 6 (35.7%)
ASU is back to scoring in 50’s last 3 Games (Regulation) 58½ PPG over last

AZST 5-10 Fr 173 Guard Jahil Carson (#4 Scorer in PAC-12 at 17.6)
Is getting doubled, schemed & corralled (similar to WZU’s Brock Motum

Carson has been held to 14¼ PPG Last 4 Gms
Since 28½ PPG over UW/WZU Weekend

Moreover, ASU gives conflicted impression
Between desire to play newly formed, Carson-led Up-Tempo Ball or
Remain relegated to keep falling back to less-taxing methodical tempo
ASU’s HC Herb Sendeck’s career mainstay

DEVIL FREE THROW ISSUES

AZST 59.5% FT Conf Games & JUST 50.8% FT Last 5 Games
AZST has been outscored at FT Line 66-33 over their last 5 GAMES
AZST Allowed 20½ Made FT’s last 2 Games

On POSITIVE ASU side, DEVS DEFENSE continues to stand out
AZST forced Opponents into +10 Turnover differential over last 4 Games

Devils’ are least ‘rested’ starters (NCAA) & fatigue is showing in many ways
ASU’s 2 close MOUNTAIN Games (Margin 7 Total Points) over weekend
Will have to add to their exhaustion
 
Sun Devils will be hard pressed to match Season-Low 4 T-Overs
As they posted in Game 1 vs. Cougars

Sluggish Devils are a good matchup for higher scoring Wazzu here
Finally a team Cougs can ‘keep up with’ Offensively

2½ UNIT
WASHINGTON STATE +7 (-110 | Betonline)
ARIZONA STATE

__________

Wed Feb 20, 2013 | 11:05 PM, EST | ESPN-2
McKale Center | Tucson, Arizona

WASHINGTON HUSKIES 14-12 (6-7 Conf)
#12 ARIZONA WILDCATS 21-4 (9-4 Conf)

UW

PREDOMINANT 2012-2013 STARTERS
WASH 6-03 | 194 Sr Abdul Gaddy
WASH 6-05 | 195 Jr C.J. Wilcox
WASH 6-07 | 222 So Desmond Simmons
WASH 6-09 | 254 So Shawn Kemp 
WASH 7-00 | 262 Sr Aziz N'Diaye

KEY CONTRIBUTORS
WASH 6-06 | 197 Sr Scott Suggs
WASH 6-02 | 196 Fr Andrew Andrews

INJURED
WASH 6-02 | 185 So Hikeem Stewart
WASH 6-10 | 220 Fr Jernard Jarreau

UA

PREDOMINANT 2012-2013 STARTERS
ARIZ 6-03 | 200 So Nick Johnson                 
ARIZ 6-01 | 200 Sr Mark Lyons
ARIZ 6-06 | 222 Sr Kevin Parrom
ARIZ 6-07 | 221 Sr Solomon Hill
ARIZ 6-08 | 235 Fr Brandon Ashley

KEY CONTRIBUTORS
ARIZ 6-03 | 200 Jr Jordin Mayes
ARIZ 7-00 | 255 Fr Kaleb Tarczewski
ARIZ 6-10 | 235 Fr Grant Jerrett

2 TEAMS seemingly STILL struggling to define a 2012-13’ ‘Team Identity’
Though Cats may be really struggling vs. Spread (3-10 Conf)
As always we must assess IF this causes AZ to be UNDERVALUED here

REALLY believe it does

AZ still excels in all/most of things that make AZ so dynamic
During Cats’ rise to 14-0 and #3 Ranking

AZ still has sparkling FT Rate Numbers
AZ BETTER FT Rate Differential 3 of 4 & 5 of last 7 Games 

Moreover, things that UW has issues;
Facing TOP 20 Defense
Facing HIGH Asst|T-Over Ratio Teams

Arizona is still strikingly good in these areas
AZ 1.33 AVG Assist to Turnover Ratio last 8 Games (OVER 1.25 in 6 of 8)
AZ Held 6 of last 8 Teams to 46% eFG or Better

Not a good matchup for Dawgs
Though initial AZ at UW matchup in Seattle was a ‘Push’
Cats dictated tempo, deliberately overcame a 5 Point UW Halftime Lead
As Teams combined to make 4-30 Deep Shots (13.3%)

Like Cats here, even at 4 Possession Number

1½ UNIT
WASHINGTON
ARIZONA -12 (-110 | Betonline)

All the best, guys

Way-Out-West Sports Productions, LLC | INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS
Another Oregon State University Alum Powered by Orange
"Always a great day to be a Beaver"

JR ODonnell
Joined: 10/10/2009
Posts: 19084
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get them B

www.jrodonnell.com ....currently on a 491 423 + 71 units a 100 $ bettor +7100 since 01/01/2014 All Sports Run & a 144-95-4 3* 60% run ..NOW WE KEEP THE HAMMER DOWN  ......  let's do this... AS THE DRIVE FOR 100 U IS ON!!!!!!!! 

 thanks and let's get there !!!!!!!!! 

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 be well all

Stevebeav
Joined: 10/09/2007
Posts: 6880
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Thanks, JRO...back at u

Way-Out-West Sports Productions, LLC | INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS
Another Oregon State University Alum Powered by Orange
"Always a great day to be a Beaver"

Stevebeav
Joined: 10/09/2007
Posts: 6880
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Top 75 Contributor

Glad these were played when they were... Both numbers on the move

Way-Out-West Sports Productions, LLC | INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS
Another Oregon State University Alum Powered by Orange
"Always a great day to be a Beaver"

Griff
Joined: 08/20/2009
Posts: 23086
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GET MONEY!!!!!!!!

"EVERY DOG HAS HIS DAY"

Stevebeav
Joined: 10/09/2007
Posts: 6880
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Top 75 Contributor

Thanks, Griff-y....you do the same.  Closing in on MARCH.  Lets continue to pad our roll.

Way-Out-West Sports Productions, LLC | INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS
Another Oregon State University Alum Powered by Orange
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gaff
Joined: 06/29/2011
Posts: 754
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Great work Steve.

Jeff Scott Sports
Joined: 03/08/2008
Posts: 45509
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Top 10 Contributor

Great stuff as always Steve. BOL to you tonight

"Challenge yourself with something you know you could never do, and what you’ll find is that you can overcome anything."


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gordon24
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BOL BB LETS GO

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