Sorry Fellas...the Soundcloud Audio upload "failed" so rather than waste anymore time recording another one, I'll simply type it up since there's very few games to cover...
NBA Market Update :
THUNDER, MAVERICKS, & TRAILBLAZERS...being tied into most cross-sport Parlays & Teasers with CBB Title Game by "recreational bettors".
NOT much in the form of straight bets especially since National Championship game tips-off late meaning there won't be any NBA remaining to double-up or chase when CBB game goes final.
Majority of "line-moves" are wiseguy money related tonight in NBA so play close attention especially on "late steam".
CBB Market Update :
Line settled at 6 on Sunday but no surprise to see it -6.5 almost all across the board since books are heavier on the favorite due to "public money".
Books know that at -7 there are plenty of wiseguys willing to take the DOG like they did when line got up that high on Sat night...after some sharps got out ahead by laying the points on Kentucky.
Remember, these wiseguys, betting syndicates, sharps, etc do NOT work together so they'll see value differently based on what the line is.
Books also expect to be heavier on the OVER as recreational bettors tie up parlays & teasers with the Total. In their previous match-up, the game stayed UNDER 147.5...BUT it would have gone OVER at tonight's line since 140 pts were scored.
Expect to see some Wiseguys send out "buy-orders" that may or may not get executed depending on what books do with the point-spread as the majority of money gets wagered in that final hour.
Finally, don't make it harder than it needs to be. Simply create a price and try to foresee how game will play out, then look at the board and see if the price being offered reflects value when compared with your line.
Because if you listen to all the break-downs and analysis, watch all the shows and read all that's written...you will probably walk away liking the FAV, DOG, OVER, & UNDER..."Perception" gained from all of this is why these MARQUEE games tend to offer bettors the most value.
Best of Luck & Enjoy the Game...Vegas-Runner.
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NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP Game PROPS :
Not surprising to hear that majority of "movers" have gotten down on UNDERS and looking for more that get knocked out of whack by public money.
Like most games of this magnitude that offer "Prop Bets"...lines on STAR players are almost always INFLATED.
BIAS for "offense" is what majority of sharps are looking to take advantage of.
Leading up to that final hour which attracts the heaviest public money daily...books are reporting more of the same all the way around. GL, VR
Just got off the phone with a friend of mine that I grew up with that runs a pretty big book back in Philly who stated :
"I've got guys with sheets who say they're getting action from players who haven't bet since the Super Bowl...that are back in action to bet Kentucky"...
Don't be surprised to see this line climb as we approach tip-off...GL, VR
1st Half Update :
EVERY book we have access to claims to be extremely ONE-SIDED on Kentucky for 1st Half...
In fact, even when a couple of books adjusted "game line" to -6 at one point...they did NOT adjust the 1st Half line since they're so heavy on Wildcats...
This should be no surprise with all the hype about how Kansas has played in the 1st half throughout the Big Dance...A Kansas 1st Half cover would be HUGE for books !!