really feeling george mason, what are ur thoughts?
5-0-1 NCAA BBALL
BWILK1984 - GEORGE MASON
VERDICT - AGREE!
As a matter of fact they are one of my 8 plays today.... here is my writeup.
I have reduced this rating because I subjectively believe that VCU HC Smart is superior to first year Mason HC Hewitt. But that edge may be offset by the fact the Patriots are 53-7 SU, 3+Y on this court, including 9-1 this season (loss to Duquesne). VCU enters on an 11 game win streak, while GM has won 9 of 10. The difference is a late season home court situation which has cashed over 68% of the time on over 200 occurrences. It is worthy of a small play.
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Temple minus 2 vs St bonys...i have temple -5.3 here, ur thoughts?...We had a sqeeker on george mason yesterday!
Providence/Cincinnati Under (137.5)
I see one of two scenarios happening in this game. The first is a dominant UC performance, as the spread and my current opinions indicate, leaving Providence with less than 55 points at the end of the game. Also, the Bearcats should look to go inside tonight, and will rely less on the 3 than they have all year, keeping us under the number. The second scenario would involve an upset by Providence, in which cas UC would have to be ice cold from the floor and a slowed tempo, keeping us well under the number as well. I'm looking for that stifling UC defense to keep this one under 130 total.
Providence +10 over CINCINNATI: The Friars come in struggling as they have won just 1 of their last 7 games, but they have still played well, losing by DD in just 1 of their last 5 losses and that was by just 12 points at Pittsburgh. Cincinnati has come on to have a nice season so far, at 17-8 and they are 7-5 in the Big East, but just 3-2 in Big East home games, with 1 win coming by DD. The Bearcats are just 11-27 ATS in their last 38 home games and just 1-4 ATS in their Big East home games this year. Despite their 1-4 mark in their last 5 games the Friars have been out scored by just 0.8 ppg, while Cincinnati comes in at 2-3 in their last 5 and have been outscored by just 0.2 ppg. These teams have been involved in some close games this year, while the series shows that 6 of the 7 meetings between the two have been decided by 9 or less and the on that wasn't decided by 9 or less was a 12 point OT win by Cincinnati last February. Recent play and history shows that this one will be close and I agree. Bearcats by no more than 5 here.
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I agree, Jeff. Not a judge, but I am a Joe, at least. My Bearcats rarely cover these types of lines at home. Just not a good ATS position for them. I'll likely make a small parlay with prov & under in addition to my under bet.
MWILK1984 - Temple -2
VERDICT - AGREE
Plenty of reasons for technical handicappers to line up on the Bonnies as home dog on the basis of their 69-48 home court win vs the Dukes on Saturday. But the fundamentals favoring Temple are so great that we must side with that portion of the handicap. With the return of Michael Eric, the Owls have balanced this offense, improved defense, and controlled boards. In this match up he is the perfect player to offset the Bonnie’s Nicholson, who is normally capable of dominating the paint. On the perimeter it’s all Temple, with the trio of Fernandez, Moore, and Wyatt, better than anything the Bonnies will send to the hardwood. The Owls maintain their position atop the A10 and extend their recent run of 9-0 SU in which every win has been by 6 or more.
GANTENVELDJ - Prov/Cinci UNDER 137-
VERDICT - HUNG JURY
As the devil's advocate consider the late game 3 point shooting/FT shooting barrage that can be prevalent in games that often end at this price range.
Jeff Scott - Providence -10-
Cooley's solid success on the Conference road both at Fairfield and Providence could combine with the pressure felt by the Bearcats to result in a victory of any margin being a satisfying result for the Bearcats.