MUST get in tonight w/this one, Probably have little time before Steam re-corrects number
Virginia Commonwealth at George Mason
Gotta hand it to G Mason to this pointThis team has made it to 10-3 in Conf Often starting FOUR Underclassmen 3 Soph 1 FroshAlong w/CAA #4 scorer, Cam Long (Jr)
G Mas rec largely fueled by 7-Gm Win StreakFact is, Patriots streak also filled w/Lower 1/3 D-1 RPI TmsG Mas has dropped 2x S-U And hasn't covered a Gm in last FOUR
G Mas Underrated PG, WHACK(not making that up)Lock-Down Point is still limited w/Injury
Honestly believe G Mason is OVER-VALUED here
VCU: #25 O-PPP / #87 D-PPP G Mas: #157 O-PPP / #161 D-PPP VCU is better in nearly every OFF & DEF CategoryVCU has at least FOUR Key Indiv. Match-up advantages VCU usually STARTS 4 EXP Jr & 1 Soph
VCU's KEY Advantage is Down Low:VCU L Sanders vs G Mason's Morrison
G Mason Poor 3-pt shooting HASCoincided w/their last 4 Gms, & 0-3-1 ATS Rec 23.0% 29.4% 23.0% 29.4% 23.5% (1-pt cover)
VCU is weak shooting from Deep, esp lately6 of Rams last 8 shot 33.7 or lower 3-pt% Yet it hasn't appeared to matterSince VCU is choking teams defensivelyIncluding VCU ONLY Conf Loss vs NE VCU Pt's alwd: 58 60 62 53 74 (L, 1st Place Northeastern) 59 69 68 64
Considering Rams are TOP TEMPO TM in CAA63 PPG Allowed is very solid
ALL VCU L's but ONE are in Conf(OOC 1-pt L to Rhode Island)VCU started 1-3 Conf, BEEN on 8-1 TEAR Since, as proj on 1/6(ONLY LOSS to Sizzling 1st PLACE NE)
VCU's MARGIN last 4 Conf Gms: +12 +13 +16 +49
G Mason tempo in lowest qrtr of CAAWhile VCU is of course the QUICKEST Tm in ConfRams have MORE success v LOW PACE Tms Whilst G Mason appears to have issues w/HIGH paced Tms
FINALLY, CAA STANDINGS:VCU 9-4, inexplicably behind G Mason 10-3 (& ODU, NE at 11-2)YET,VCU'S CONF GM MARGIN: +10.8GEORGE MASON MARGIN: +0.8
VCU Power Rated #43 / G Mason #157, VCU JUST -2 at G Mason?
VCU Rams at just -2 is SUPER VALUE
2 UNITSVIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH -2 at GEORGE MASON
Should have play w/Indiana State at Creighton if & when line makes 1 last small twist. For what it's worth
"Winning is determined by ones appropriate response to Losing" Sleep? Overrated
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I didn't have this on my map as well, because I can't call what George Mason team is going to show up. I did see at SB that the line is 3.5 already so good early work, Steve.
Good luck on the play tonight buddy. I was looking at this game but couldn't finalize a play, but you just did for me!!!! Great info as always
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I like ONE POSSESSION a lot; I'd personally buy a hook down to -3, but still go Rams either way. Just so much better at nearly every area, and as indicated, G Mason hitting the MEATY portion of their schedule, and having shooting issues and not covering or winning, for that matter...
Thanks a million guys, Denver$, Dan, everyone... like this one a lot.
Looks like the best we're gonna get here is -3.5, IF it gets back there.
For the RECORD
1.75 UNIT* VCU -3 (BH, sportsbook.com -120 *, bought hook, w/>VIG)
1.75 UNIT*
VCU -3 (BH, sportsbook.com -120 *, bought hook, w/>VIG)
On Road, buying HOOK back to one possession, Rams remain solid play, in my humble opinion. Line quote (still lloking for it thru 'History' listings) off 'Early line' feed NEVER reached the number quoted here....just to clarify.
A little VCU-News (expected) from Richmond Times-Dispatch hit the wire today...even if expected, distractions are always something to cap against / thought this MAY send line back a bit...hasn't YET:
Gavin leaves Rams Sophomore guard Jay Gavin has left Virginia Commonwealth's basketball team for what the school said was personal reasons. "Jay has made the decision that it is in his best interest to leave our team," VCU coach Shaka Smart said in a release last night. "As a coaching staff, we appreciate Jay's efforts and contributions during his time as a Ram. We wish him nothing but the best for his future." In a phone conversation, Gavin did not want to comment on his situation or his future but said he wanted "to wish my teammates and VCU the best." A transfer from Marist, Gavin started VCU's first seven games. He had 20 points in a victory over then-No. 17 Oklahoma. But his playing time has decreased as the season has progressed, and he has not been on the floor in four of the past six games. In the two games Gavin did play, he had 14 points in 10 minutes in a blowout win over Towson, then got in for the final minute of Wednesday's 73-60 victory over UNC Wilmington. Gavin sat out last year after transferring. He averaged 12.3 points as a freshman at Marist and was the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference's co-rookie of the year.
Sophomore guard Jay Gavin has left Virginia Commonwealth's basketball team for what the school said was personal reasons.
"Jay has made the decision that it is in his best interest to leave our team," VCU coach Shaka Smart said in a release last night. "As a coaching staff, we appreciate Jay's efforts and contributions during his time as a Ram. We wish him nothing but the best for his future."
In a phone conversation, Gavin did not want to comment on his situation or his future but said he wanted "to wish my teammates and VCU the best."
A transfer from Marist, Gavin started VCU's first seven games. He had 20 points in a victory over then-No. 17 Oklahoma.
But his playing time has decreased as the season has progressed, and he has not been on the floor in four of the past six games. In the two games Gavin did play, he had 14 points in 10 minutes in a blowout win over Towson, then got in for the final minute of Wednesday's 73-60 victory over UNC Wilmington.
Gavin sat out last year after transferring. He averaged 12.3 points as a freshman at Marist and was the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference's co-rookie of the year.
SPORTS BOOK HAS IT AT -4 NOW(HOW STRONG YOU LIKE IT AT-4) I CAPPED IT AT -7