Happy to be out of January. No time for any write-ups, so use these as a reference only. They are Today's Top Ten....LOL
Get 'em, Pregamers. Let's start this month with a bang!
Miami Heat Under 93 (-110)
Orlando Magic Under 90 (-110)
**Milwaukee Bucks +5½ (-120) ~ Interesting that the Bucks are 45-14-2 (76%) ATS in their last 61 vs the Atlantic, 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in New York and 12-4 ATS vs the Knicks. Tempted to also touch the +185 ML. Already doubled up on this play.
Dallas Mavericks +3½ (-110)
Minnesota Wild (+105)
Philadelphia Flyers (-115) ~ After looking this game over further, I am honestly not sure why I am high on them tonight?
Ottawa Senators/Carolina Hurricanes Under 5½ (-120)
Winnipeg Jets/Tampa Bay Lightning Over 6 (-105) ~ Seeing folks thinking that the Bolts may be "looking ahead" to the Rangers tomorrow? Not sure what is making anyone think that? Personally don't think they could care less about NYR?
While I do like the Salami to stay under 40 tonight, I got skinned on it pretty good last night, so will take a pass. The only really dangerous game appears to be the Jets/Bolts, but that is what I thought last night......
Pennsylvania +3½ (-110)
Siena +4½ (-110) ~ Had I not already submitted this play, I would pass on it now. Just a heads-up.....
My Super Bowl Teaser;
San Francisco 49ers +2½
Baltimore Ravens/San Francisco 49ers Under 53
2014 MLB PUPs (Preseason Underdog Plays) ~ Commenced February 26th
54-44-7 (+11.59) Overall
Day One ~ 4-1 (+1.15) (***For betting purposes, the outcome was actually 3-2***) Won't see something like this everyday thanks to that crazy Tigers/Braves call. Detroit with the W, but Atlanta taking home the cash. Never seen it before and hope to never again.
Day Two ~ 4-3 (+1.37)
Day Three ~ 6-3 (+3.56)
Day Four ~ 0-5-1 (-5.00) ~ Six in play today with 3 at EV up to +115. I honestly cannot recall if I have played them (+100) in the past, so will have to check back....still haven't checked, but disastrous results playing at even money. Think I'll stick with +101 and higher.
Day Five ~ 6-6 (+0.31) ~ After yesterday's debacle, it almost feels like a big winning day.....almost.
Day Six ~ 5-5 (+0.24)
Day Seven ~ 7-4 (+3.26)
Day Eight ~ 4-0 (+4.19)
Day Nine ~ 0-4-1 (-4.00)
Day Ten ~ 3-5 (-1.83)
Day Eleven ~ 3-2 (+1.17)
Day Twelve ~ 1-2-4 (-0.95)
Day Thirteen ~ 7-1-1 (+6.72)
Day Fourteen ~ 4-3 (+1.40)
Day Fifteen ~ Seven up ranging from +102 to +116.....
Hey Bruno, long time follower and appreciate the consistency of work put in on your thread. Can you expand on the Orlando/Heat Game total unders? I was thinking about going for those sides ATS so this throws me for a loop. Expecting low scoring games, or "bad" games from those two clubs? Thanks in advance.
Hey bruno, long time follower, but haven't chimed in often. I appreciate your consistent work on these threads. I was wondering if you could expand on your Heat/Magic Game total unders? I was leaning towards both those sides ATS so this has thrown me for a loop. Thanks in advance.
Not a problem, TDD. The underdog in this series has covered at a 68% clip over their last 40 meetings. Not a huge sample size, but enough for me. I suspect that Indiana may dictate the pace in this one and if so expect the gameline total to stay under the number. They have had only a single game go Over the posted total in their last 9 at home. Conversely, the Heat seem to play more of a ball-control game when facing tough opponents on the road. As I expect this one to likely boil down to a single possession, I like the winner to finish at 90. Not much room to play, however I do expect that team to be the Pacers. Not sure if this helps?
As far as the Magic goes, I just think that the Celts are going to grind 'em into the ground in this one. Orlando seems to elevate their game vs great opponents (but, they are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games vs a team with a losing SU record) and unfortunately, I cannot call Boston that. I really don't expect the C's to score much more than that 90.
Thanks, LJ. Beware of the Ivy.......
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Thanks, NL. Hammer the Book, my friend!
Absolutely helps. Good perspective with objective numbers. My side lean was mostly subjective thinking the Heat can turn it on and win easily when they're motivated. I believe they will be motivated being on prime time TV, Friday night on ESPN. I believe they want to go into All star weekend with some big W's, especially after getting beat on T.V. by a Rondo-less Celtics squad.
Nothing scientific about that notion though. If you believe in this theory it's hard to take the game total under for Miami or the game. This helped me think through it all one more time. Thanks again.