Why we like the Reds on Saturday at -110...Going to fade Clayton Richard in this game who does come in with some nice numbers as of late, but those numbers came against the DBacks, Astros and Mariners. He will be facing a team coming off of a 6-0 W last night and who hit leftys well. The Reds are 13-11 against LHP with a .249 average and 3.9 rpg on 28 HR. This is a Reds lineup that through 71 ABs has a combined .278 average on 4 HR against Richard. Richard has thrown 104 pitches or more this season 4 times and each following start he allowed at least 3 runs with 3 of those starts resulting in losses. His last start was 115 pitches so we will look for a continuing trend on Saturday. Homer Bailey comes into tonights game coming off of what should be a breakout start for him on the road in LA where he allowed 2 runs through 8 innings on 7 K's and 1 walk. On the road this season, Bailey has a 2.96 era with a 5-2 record with the Reds being 6-2 in road games that he starts. Bailey has allowed just 3 HR this season on the road through his 54 innings of work. In his career, Bailey is 3-0 with a 3.48 record against the Padres. Reds have the bullpen edge tonight as they got a full day of rest on Friday. Play on the Reds at -110.
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