All the trends say Colorado wins this one. Avalanche started the night at -200. I'm getting a great home favorite vs an Oilers team that always struggles on the road. Avalanche just lost to Edmonton, so I don't think they'll let it happen again. I like it anytime a team is getting +165 vs the Oilers even if they're down a goal in the 3rd period.
Avalanche are 21-3 in their last 24 games as a favorite after a game at home. That trend applies tonight. I'm not sure that trend is particularly meaningful, but like I said, COL has been a great home favorite this year in general. I'll take a flyer on this one and see how it goes.