Tuesday night I happened to notice that out of the 8 games, 7 of them were NO score 1st 10 minutes. I was curious to see what the rest of this year was like so I compiled some stats. Turns out that Tuesday was nowhere close to the norm.
NO score: 61 times (41.22%)
YES score: 87 times (58.78%)
(these #'s are pending a double check)
This includes yesterday's games where it continued to follow this year's trend...6 out of 10 were YES score first 10 min.
I'm going to look back at previous years & see what happened there as well.
all plays are 1-5units and tracked at handicapper's watchdog
It appears someone may have caught on...where last night I was seeing -110, -115 for YES, tonight's lines are all -130 to -145 for YES.
This is going to vary every night depending on who is playing. You get a game like Toronto @ Columbus or New York @ PIttsburgh then I would personally take the yes to have score in first 10 minutes.
One thing you can look at when betting this prop is how many points a team typically scores in the 1st period. If they are a higher scoring team then look to the yes. Just a few thoughts
NHL Period Free Plays 2-1
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2013-2014 NHL Futures:
Atlantic Division:Detroit Red Wings +300Montreal Canadiens +450Toronto Maple Leafs +450
Metropolitan Division:New York Rangers +250Pittsburgh Penguins -140
Central Division:St. Louis Blues +250Chicago Blackhawks -200 (I don't believe in this team this year)
Pacific Division:Vancouver Canucks +350Anaheim Ducks +450LA Kings +180
Eastern Conference:NY Rangers +500Detroit Red Wings +700Toronto Maple Leafs +1200
Western Conference:St. Louis Blues +650Vancouver Canucks +700
Stanley Cup:New York Rangers +1000St. Louis Blues +1500Detroit Red Wings +1000
NHL Season points totals:
New York Rangers over 103.5Florida Panthers over 71Vancouver Canucks over 100.5St. Louis Blues over 103.5Colorado Avalanche over 81.5 Edmonton Oilers under 90.5LA Kings under 104.5Chicago Blackhawks under 111.5
I agree - I don't play this prop, but after seeing "NO" go 7-1 the other day I was curious as to the % through the first month.