Free Play: 1* CGY/ANA 1st P U -135
CGY/ANA: Who will win the game...Who cares? The more interesting discussion is about where this line has opened, moved, and what it says about BOTH teams at this point in the Season.
My numbers made this ANA -166 and this is no doubt the 1st time I've ever seen an opening Fair Line for a ANA/CGY game. EVER....The line has ALWAYS, rightly so, been shaded heavily to ANA. You didn't have to be someone who makes NHL lines to know this, it was evident to anyone who bets hockey
If you wanted to play Calgary in previous situations you KNEW that you were getting 20, 30 maybe even 60 cents extra to make that gamble on the worse of the two teams. But not today.
Today, for the 1st time in years, you are being given line value incentive to play the Ducks instead of the Flames, the book are allowing you take a cheaper Price on the Ducks. This is fascinated because it never happens. These teams played each other five time in ANA last year. Here are those lines: ANA -172, ANA -185, ANA -188, ANA -208, ANA -243. The fact that this line opened anywhere near my line made this interesting but it wasn't exactly shocking.
If you've followed my notes, tweets or audios than you surely know that I think the Ducks ARE who they ARE -- just an average team. Every NHL reporter, TV analyst or kid with a Hockey blog continues to say the Ducks will Rebound and win this Division. I just don't see it. Im not a believer that they will just MAGICALLY turn it around. I continue to see them, beat teams that are on bad situations, on the Cali road trip while on B2Bs. They may get better and make the playoffs but they are not last year's Ducks and this line today is proof. This game isn't just about the Ducks and their failures though. The Flames have some shame here also.
So what can be more interesting than the line not being heavily shaded to ANA as usual? Its this...That even though the Ducks are down, the FLAMES are now DOWN ALSO--Not at their best, not fully able to take advantage of the Ducks bad luck.
How "Flames-y" is that? Lol.
The Ducks are at their weakest point yet the Flames are now just back to being the same old Flames. How Great is that? Amazing even.
Both of these teams are playing below expectations. The Ducks are being given the benefit of the doubt to bounce back and win the division. But today, for the 1st time in years, The Ducks are not being given a Heavily shaded line. That really speaks to the markets confidence in ANA at this specific time.
OTT/DET: My #'s made it DAL -183. The line has dropped some this morning but I'll be passing. The Sens have some solid stats and have a shot at the upset here.
*Weekly goo.gl/8Lyf1s
*Monthly https://goo.gl/IzKoY6