1500* NBA Over 193 Heat/Thunder 100* MLB Redsox -130 50* MLB Over 10 Tigers/Cardinals
MLB Tampa Bay v. Washington 7:05pm PICK: Rays ML +120 Game Minnesota v. Pittsburgh 7:05pm PICK: OVER 8.5 Game -110
Game: Oklahoma City at Miami (9:00 PM Eastern) Pick: First Half UNDER 96 -110 Oklahoma City has to do a better job with their defensive initiative early in this game, as it is the area with which they have struggled. The first two games here have failed to top the first half total posted here, and with so much on the line for the Thunder they will have their defensive hats on early - something the Heat has done all series. The Thunder have yet to reach 50 points in the first half while OKC has kept the Heat under 50 in each of the last two. As a small home favorite (favored by 3 or less), the Heat are 15-5 UNDER in the first half the past couple of seasons. They are also 16-5 UNDER in the first-half at home over that span when the total is set between 96 and 98, as it is here. OKC is a perfect 7-0 UNDER in the first-half in their last seven road games vs. good shooting teams like the Heat (teams hitting 46%+ from the field). Take the first half UNDER in this one.
Oklahoma City Thunder +3
5* Miami Heat -3 3* Washington Nationals -129
3* Tampa Bay Rays +125 3* Minnesota Twins +150 2* Oakland A’s +136 1* Colorado Rockies +163
TOP PLAY 3 UNIT PLAY Detroit/ St Louis Under 10: No I didn't learn my lesson from yesterday. Other than the humidity, there wasn't a damn stat or any indication at all that would have indicated that the Yanks and Braves would hit 9 HR's, especialy with good pitching on the mound. In this game there will be SOME humidity and the temp will be at 90 by game time, but I feel a 17mph wind that blow directly across the field to third base will negate some of the temp and humidity. Now on to some stats. Forget about the fact that Kyle Lohse has a 12.67 ERA in his last 4 starts with Detroit, as he last faced them in 2008 and the other 3 were as a member of the Twins in 2006. This year Kyle has been very good with a 2.98 ERA overall and a 1.74 ERA in his last 3 starts. Kyle also has a 3.06 ERA in his road starts, with those starts averaging 8.8 rpg. Offensively the Cards have averaged 5.1 rpg in Day games this year, but they also come in slumping, having averaged just 3.6 rpg in their last 7 games and just 3 rpg vs the AL on the year. Yesterday I thought that Marco put out a couple of weak stats for the Yanks Over play, but here is one that I feel really makes sense. This year the Tigers have gone 21-10 UNDER in day games with an average of 8.1 rpg being scored, plus their interleague games have gone 7-6 UNDER, with just 8.3 rpg being scored. Jacob Turner gets the start for the Tigers tonight and this will be his first start of the year and 3rd start ever. Now having never faced the Cards he should have a slight advantage here, plus if he gets into trouble he does have a solid pen that has a 2.08 ERA behind him. to me it really doesn't make sense for this total to be going up. I know it will be hot, but that wind should knock the balls down and negate the heat. I look for around 8 runs in this one. OTHER PLAY 2 UNIT PLAY LA Dodgers -143 over OAKLAND
Today's NBA Picks Oklahoma City at Miami The Thunder look to bounce back from their 104-98 loss in Game 4 and build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in the previous game. Oklahoma City is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+3). Here are all of today's picks THURSDAY, JUNE 21 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST Game 509-510: Oklahoma City at Miami (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 127.863; Miami 129.185 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 189 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 3; 193 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+3); Under
Today's MLB Picks LA Dodgers at Oakland The Dodgers look to build on their 7-0 record in Clayton Kershaw's last 7 road starts with the run total set at 6 1/2 or lower. LA is the pick (-145) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-145). Here are all of today's picks. THURSDAY, JUNE 21 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST Game 951-952: Colorado at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Francis) 13.168; Philadelphia (Worley) 14.929 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 10 1/2 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-175); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-175); Over Game 953-954: St. Louis at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 15.733; Detroit (Turner) 14.886 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; Vegas Line: Detroit (-110); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110); Under Game 955-956: LA Dodgers at Oakland (3:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.517; Oakland (Blackley) 15.427 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 7 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-145); Over Game 957-958: Tampa Bay at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Moore) 15.473; Washington (Gonzalez) 15.895 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Washington (-130); 7 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-130); Under Game 959-960: Minnesota at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hendriks) 13.844; Pittsburgh (McDonald) 14.963 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-155); 8 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-155); Over Game 961-962: Miami at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Zambrano) 15.517; Boston (Matsuzaka) 15.168 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (+115); Under
NBA OKLAHOMA CITY at MIAMI Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. 85-45 since 1997. ( 65.4% 35.5 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units ) NBA OKLAHOMA CITY at MIAMI Play On - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (OKLAHOMA CITY) off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days. 45-21 since 1997. ( 68.2% 25.2 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.9 units ) NBA OKLAHOMA CITY at MIAMI Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points in a playoff game. 366-242 since 1997. ( 60.2% 99.8 units ) 24-14 this year. ( 63.2% 8.6 units )
MLB TAMPA BAY at WASHINGTON Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (WASHINGTON) below average NL hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities. 78-28 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.6% 37.2 units ) 3-3 this year. ( 50.0% -1.4 units ) StatFox Situational Power Trends - FoxSheets MLB LA DODGERS at OAKLAND LA DODGERS are 17-6 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in Road games after 10 straight games where they failed to hit more than one HR over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: LA DODGERS (4.4) , OPPONENT (2.6)
Thurs plays 2** St Louis/Detroit under 9.5(1pm) - While this isn't a MLB debut, It will be the 2012 debut for Tigers #1 prospect Turmer. He was throwing well in a hitters park. Lohse has had a good year, but he has really been dealing lately with a 1.74 ERA with a 0.90 WHIP. Detroit is playing better but it is due to good pitching, the offense has been average. 1* Philly -165 over Colorado(7pm) 1* Philly -1.5 runs +120 over Colo - The Rox are a mess. They have went with a 4 man rotation and limited their pitchers to 75 pitches per start. The result has been a 11.47 ERA during the experiment. Tulo is gone. Worley has been fantastic and they are getting healthy vs rox. 1* Pittsburgh -155 over minnesota(7pm) 1* Pittsburgh -1.5 runs +135 over Minny - Liam Hendricks isn't ready for the big time yet. Minny has been playing well since semi giving up on this year. Well except for Hendriks. His 2.67 WHIP and .450 BA when balls are hit in play off him are staggering. McDonald's 1.75 ERA at home this year is 3rd in the majors.
Our systems say to go for: Red Sox (-126) Devil Rays (+121)
My 20 Dime Money Move selection is on the Heat over the Thunder. The current line on this game is -3 at the majority of sports books in Vegas and offshore.
100* Red Sox -130 50* Tigers / Cardinals Over 10
Baseball Thursday 100* Play Philadelphia (-165) over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY) Starts at 7:10 PM EST Colorado has lost 12 of the last 13 games and they have also lost 6 of the last 7 games when playing on a Thursday. Colorado has lost 9 of the last 10 games vs. NL East Division Opponents and they have lost 11 of the last 14 games as an underdog of +150 to +200. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50* Play Pittsburgh (-150) over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY) 50* Play LA Dodgers (-135) over Oakland (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Oklahoma City Thunder +4 over Miami Heat
Pittsburgh Pirates -150 over Minnesota Twins
Today, Mr. Aitch won’t say pshaw to Kershaw -- 10 units on the Dodgers. Also, he won’t bet the farm on McDonald, but he will drop 10 units on the Pirate pitcher.
Thursday it’s the Thunder.
Season Straight Up: 688-335 (.673) ATS: 534-524 (.505) ATS Vary Units: 1419-1341 (.514) Over/Under: 519-535 (.492) Over/Under Vary Units: 995-1084 (.479) NBA Finals Game 5, best-of-7 MIAMI 96, Oklahoma City 92
WHAT IS THIS FOR?
Don't you have a post every day for Capper plays, I didn't see one today so I took the initiative to find them and post them, what did I do wrong?
I DIDNT SAY YOU DID ANYTHING WRONG, I WAS MERLEY ASKING WHAT WAS THIS POST ABOUT.
I am starting to feel you are getting very defensive about everything, and many people here are noticing also. Not sure who or what someone did to you here, L.A!
Texas Crusher did post Capper Plays but I only saw I post of picks, now there is many, I apologize if I did something wrong MP.
Oh No Sir, I was just trying to help out, I have no problems with anyone MP. Do you post your picks here MP? Have a good money Night
No prov, good work, GET MONEY!!!
"EVERY DOG HAS HIS DAY"
Thanks Mr. Griff
Papa, you are right..Johnny or crusher usually do these. I'm not sure what madman is talking about. Thanks for the post, chango!
Well Thanks Cabaldwin3. Hope you win tonight Sir!!