Forums

Forums
Where sports bettors talk!

PB: Tourney Friday - The Game Inside the Game

PB: Tourney Friday - The Game Inside the Game
RD Neil
Joined: 09/20/2015
Posts: 219
College Recruit
Not Ranked

It's end games like Ok State/Michigan when I really wish I was in a Vegas sportsbook right now.  To have heard the mixed reactions when that meaningless 3 went down must have been classic...

puffkit
Joined: 09/08/2013
Posts: 955
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

dave is there a go # for kansas?.…...i'm not into laying big chalk but its now dropped to -22.5. as discussed kan  well rested and ucd struggles to score.....i think theyll be lucky to hit 60

David Malinsky
Joined: 08/11/2014
Posts: 12329
Rank NA
Top 50 Contributor

RD Neil

It's end games like Ok State/Michigan when I really wish I was in a Vegas sportsbook right now.  To have heard the mixed reactions when that meaningless 3 went down must have been classic...

The guys behind the counter take a particular pleasure out of a result like that when there are a lot of fresh faces in the room - based on human nature, everybody walks away believing they had the right side, which is part of the hook that keeps folks in the game. The guy who thinks he had the wrong team and got lucky to win a bet is such a rarity (although in truth on this game flow there wasn't much of a right-right/wrong-side over the full 40 minutes).

Here is the group that winced a bit, the sharps that laid -1 and took back +3 (I know of a few). There was enough time on the clock for Evans when he first started his charge to get to the basket for an uncontested layup, which would have been sweet for them, but Michigan played just enough token defense (which the Wolverines were supposed to do, to come as close as possible to forcing the clock to run out) to force the pull up for the triple. They still caught a partial number, but not the magic "2" that was in reach.

David Malinsky
Joined: 08/11/2014
Posts: 12329
Rank NA
Top 50 Contributor

puffkit

dave is there a go # for kansas?.…...i'm not into laying big chalk but its now dropped to -22.5. as discussed kan  well rested and ucd struggles to score.....i think theyll be lucky to hit 60

I have not found any compelling reason for Kansas to go after a margin. I think Bill Self would like to see some good effort and crisp execution, but with the game in hand I believe he would prefer to reduce the possession count.

triple dubs
Joined: 11/07/2015
Posts: 153
College Varsity
Not Ranked

David Malinsky

puffkit

dave is there a go # for kansas?.…...i'm not into laying big chalk but its now dropped to -22.5. as discussed kan  well rested and ucd struggles to score.....i think theyll be lucky to hit 60

I have not found any compelling reason for Kansas to go after a margin. I think Bill Self would like to see some good effort and crisp execution, but with the game in hand I believe he would prefer to reduce the possession count.

is this also applicable to the UNC - TXSo matchup?

newprodigy
Joined: 06/14/2016
Posts: 220
College Recruit
Not Ranked

Dave michigan is been on an incredible run and are well coached wich you've touched on a few times. With their 3 point shooting in the 2nd half hitting at a high clip, dont know the number off top of my head but seem like it was 60%+ do we look for that to regress some and play Louisville first half..... Of course we would need the cardinals to hold on.

pappahoops
Joined: 01/10/2016
Posts: 355
College Varsity
Not Ranked

I know they're young, but they have played brutal basketball last weekend and now one of the most physically taxing games I have seen in a long time. Will Michigan have enough in the tank to beat Louisville? I hate to vote against them because they're on such a terrific run, my Common Sense tells me the Cardinals should be in a good position to take the victory. Now what will the point spread be?

trapslap
Joined: 12/10/2012
Posts: 381
College Varsity
Not Ranked

Dayton +7 in pocket, I respect Wichita St and no doubt they got the worst seeding I have ever seen but -7?? Gotta be public money...

David Malinsky
Joined: 08/11/2014
Posts: 12329
Rank NA
Top 50 Contributor

newprodigy

Dave michigan is been on an incredible run and are well coached wich you've touched on a few times. With their 3 point shooting in the 2nd half hitting at a high clip, dont know the number off top of my head but seem like it was 60%+ do we look for that to regress some and play Louisville first half..... Of course we would need the cardinals to hold on.

I will get to questions such as these in order over the weekend, but one of the things noted late in the Thursday thread is that there will be the caution of not responding until the general marketplace has been set. We do have a number of "influence peddlers" that read and post here, folks not only involved from the other side of the counter, but also a few that are capable of wrecking an early market. Hence some questions may not get answered until there is a proper timing in terms of the general marketplace, but this game will be a fascinating one to break down.

Bama man
Joined: 10/15/2012
Posts: 5131
All Pro
Top 200 Contributor

SMU took the gas.... Hisssss... Choke... but still gotta love USC

Rate This
  • 31 replies
  • 7 subscribers
  • Posted13 days ago