Don't ever commit to playing a particular pick before purchasing!!!! Don't double, triple, quadruple up because multiple opinions agree. That's a way to get buried and then the chase begins.
You might like what you purchase. In the case you don't, eat the purchase price and if it loses you get a refund. If it wins, you're only out $30. Live to fight another day. If you like it, play only what you are comfortable losing. If the thought of losing $30 is unsettling, find a different form of entertainment. When cherry picking purchased plays, IMO, that must be the mindset one has for it to ever have a chance of working. FYI, I don't purchase plays, but if I did, this would be the strategy I would use.