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Ben Burns
Joined: 09/29/2006
Posts: 24
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While sports betting will always remain my #1 passion, I also dabble at DFS. Many of my competitors come from a poker background, rather than a sports one. I try to use my handicapping to help provide me with unique DFS insight. Any other active players here? 

Ben Burns
Joined: 09/29/2006
Posts: 24
Practice Squad
Not Ranked

Thursday evening offers a small but interesting MLB slate. There are only four games to choose from (Game 2 of the Houston/Minnesota DH isn't included) and all four have O/U lines ranging from 8 to 9.5.

At Draft Kings, which requires two pitchers per lineup, Duffy is the most expensive pitcher, followed by Kluber and then Lester. Martinez, Pineda and Rodriguez are mid-priced while Rodriguez and Chacin provide "cheaper" options. At FanDuel, which requires only one pitcher per lineup, Kluber and Lester are both more expensive than Duffy.

An added twist is that LA/Cleveland may have some questionable weather, while the same could potentially prove true at Wrigley, where there's also a bit of a breeze blowing out. (KC may also see some storms but they're expected to hold off until after the game.)

For now, I'm assuming all four games will go without interruption. However, we'll get a better idea of the true forecast a little closer to first pitch.

Given the wind and the fact that Martinez just got rocked by the Braves and Cubs' hitters figure to be pretty popular. Same goes for Cleveland hitters. Chacin's been terrible and the Indians have been hitting well at home all season.

I'm still finalizing my thoughts/lineup here but I'll check back in after I do. In the meantime, please feel free to comment.

Captain Obvious
Joined: 10/07/2014
Posts: 3839
All Pro
Top 500 Contributor

Gary Sanchez at 2600 C, will be a popular pick coming off a night where he hit his first ML HR, and tonight facing a shitty lefty.

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
CFB4135353.95210.00
MLB125130449.021107.00
NBA67046.15-170.00
NFL2715064.291033.00
NHL12033.33-95.00
Captain Obvious
Joined: 10/07/2014
Posts: 3839
All Pro
Top 500 Contributor

I like Miguel Gonzalez against an awful Royals lineup.

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
CFB4135353.95210.00
MLB125130449.021107.00
NBA67046.15-170.00
NFL2715064.291033.00
NHL12033.33-95.00
Ben Burns
Joined: 09/29/2006
Posts: 24
Practice Squad
Not Ranked

Thanks for the input Captain Obvious. I think you're probably right on Sanchez being a popular pick. You could be right about Gonzalez too. (But I'm hoping not!) There are things to like about him. He's priced right and up against Duffy, he's not going to be heavily owned. He's pretty hittable though. He had one K last time out against 10 hits. Hosmer (#4) and Perez (#5) have both previously taken him deep. Morales (suspension) and Cain (day off) too - but neither in the starting lineup. Either way, thanks again and gl tonight.

pauliemitch
Joined: 10/24/2010
Posts: 10139
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Top 75 Contributor

Duffy is going to get hit Hard tonight.

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
MLB0100.00-114.00
Ben Burns
Joined: 09/29/2006
Posts: 24
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Definitely a tricky weather situation.

My friend, who lives five mins from the stadium in Cleveland just sent me this: "About an hour ago, it was terrible...total downpour w/ hideous looking skies. It has since stopped. But, my weather app is saying thunderstorms return by 8 pm et." ... I'm seeing that this second storm will fade but a delay looks possible. Normally, I'd fade pitchers in a situation like this but due to limited options, I'm still deciding whether or not to roll with Kluber.

Wind blowing out with a possibility of storms at Wrigley and a possible late storm at KC. Looks good in Boston but Pineda's been a little suspect (5.34 road ERA) and as C.O. mentioned, Rodriguez isn't exactly Cy Young ...

Finalizing decisions .. will report back.

BTW thanks for the post pauliemitch. I know Chicago hits southpaws reasonably well but what makes you think Duffy is going to get hard? Just curious, as he's been pretty consistent this season (and has 27 K's in his L3 starts)

Ben Burns
Joined: 09/29/2006
Posts: 24
Practice Squad
Not Ranked

Not loving the weather .. but rolling the dice with what I feel are the tonight's top two pitching options. Note that this is for a (DK) contest with 65 contestants in it, a max of three entries per person. (If I were playing in a H2H or 50/50, I likely wouldn't have elected to load up against Lester.) Good luck and enjoy.

P Danny Duffy P

P Corey Kluber P

C Austin Romine  8

1B Eric Hosmer  4

2B Matt Carpenter  1

3B Álex Rodríguez  4

SS Jhonny Peralta  6

OF Jacoby Ellsbury  2

OF Jason Heyward  6

OF Matt Holliday  3

Captain Obvious
Joined: 10/07/2014
Posts: 3839
All Pro
Top 500 Contributor

Nice start.

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
CFB4135353.95210.00
MLB125130449.021107.00
NBA67046.15-170.00
NFL2715064.291033.00
NHL12033.33-95.00
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