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6* Widow Wiseguy 2009 NFC GAME OF THE YEAR on Atlanta Falcons +6*Analysis Coming Soon*
Dallas -2.5 vs NYG
Denver -5 vs KC
New England -4 vs Miami
Green Bay -3 vs Baltimore
Tennessee +6.5 vs Indy
Houston pk vs Jacksonville
Philly -5 vs Atlanta
San Diego -13 vs Cleveland
Pittsburgh -13.5 vs Oakland
Carolina/Tampa Under 40
Indy/Tennessee Under 47
RON RAYMOND5* NFL BEST BET OF THE WEEK!Pick # 1 Tennessee Titans (6.5)5* NFL UNDERDOG SUNDAY SHOCKER!Pick # 1 Kansas City Chiefs (6)5* NFL O/U BEST BET + 2 BONUS PICKSPick # 1 Tennessee Titans / IndianapoIis Colts Over 46 -115Pick # 2 New Orleans Saints / Washington Redskins Under 47 -110Pick # 3 New England Patriots / Miami Dolphins Under 45.5 -110
RICKENBACHToday�s Free PickGAME: San Diego Chargers @ Cleveland Browns Dec 6, 2009 4:05PM SPORT: National Football League Picks PICK: Cleveland Browns Offered at: 14 SPORTSBETTING REASON FOR PICK: Scott Rickenbach�s Free Pick Opinion Play for NFL Sunday: Play the Cleveland Browns (+) vs San Diego, Sunday, December 6th @ 4:05 PM ET: The Browns certainly fit the bill as an �ugly� dog. As painful as it seem to invest in Cleveland here, note that their defense did play decent in holding Cincinnati to just 16 points and 306 yards last week. The Browns got the cash as a result and they can do so again here. The Chargers, after hammering the Chiefs in San Diego last week, now have to travel to what is likely to be a chilly Cleveland and the Chargers have a big game on deck at Dallas. How can they not look ahead to facing the Cowboys when they�re playing a 1-10 Cleveland team? The answer is they can not!Look for the Chargers to have trouble in this �sandwich spot�. They are off of a big home win last week and now are on the road facing one of the NFL�s worst while having one of the NFC�s best (Dallas) on deck. The Chargers blowout win over the Chiefs last week was helped by four Kansas City turnovers. The week before that, when San Diego blew out Denver, the Chargers were helped by three Broncos turnovers. The point is that the blowout wins of the last couple weeks for San Diego are helping to give us solid line value here! The Browns last two losses have come by a total of just ten points and yet they�re a bigger dog than that in this one even though they are now back at home! Early forecasts call for temperatures near freezing with a chance of snow showers in Cleveland. That will not sit well with the boys from sunny southern California and that turns this into a battle all game long! Consider a small play on Cleveland plus the big points on Sunday. Thanks for checking in here and best of luck always from Scott Rickenbach!
MATT FARGOToday�s Free PickGAME: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers Dec 6, 2009 1:00PM SPORT: National Football League Picks PICK: Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offered at: 5.5 Belmont REASON FOR PICK: Carolina�s season pretty much came to an end last week in New York with that loss to the Jets. The Panthers season was disappointing from the start as it got out of the gates 0-3 before trying to put a run together but it was really too late by then even though the season was just getting started. The play of quarterback Jake Delhomme was a real problem early on and he settled down some prior to last week but against the Jets he was a turnover machine once again. Some of that may had to do with a broken finger that will keep him out this week. Matt Moore will be making his first start since 2007 while DeAngelo Williams is questionable and his absence would hurt the offense even more. This team has pretty much tossed it in for the season after coming in with such high expectations. The Buccaneers are having a worse season at 1-10 but this team is not giving up and still playing extremely hard. Tampa Bat nearly picked up its second win of the season last week in Atlanta and three of the last four weeks have been very competitive games with one of those resulting in a win. Since Josh Freeman was put in at quarterback, new life has come into the offense. He has a 76.5 passer rating which is not bad for a rookie following his best game of the season last week against the Falcons where he posted a 118.5 rating. Carolina does have a better defense than Atlanta does but the Buccaneers have the edge of seeing Carolina for the3 second time. Tampa Bay played very well against the Atlanta rushing attack last week and it can carry that over into this one as it is no secret that the Panthers are going to run the ball no matter who is in the backfield. Since head coach Raheem Morris took over the defensive play calling, the Buccaneers have brought back the Cover 2 defense as their base scheme and last week they brought a lot of pressure with a variety of blitzes and stunts up front. On the other side, the Buccaneers need to establish a running game as well and should be able to against the Panthers who are allowing 131.5 ypg on the ground which is 26th in the NFL. Tampa Bay falls into a simple but effective situation. Play on road teams in the second half of the season after one or more consecutive wins against the spread while possessing a winning percentage on the season of .250 or less. This situation is 29-5 ATS (85.3 percent) over the last five seasons with the average point differential coming in at lass that a field goal. Carolina is 8-18 ATS under head coach John Fox in games following two or more consecutive losses while the Buccaneers come in a solid 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog between 3.5 and 10 points. 3* Tampa Bay Buccaneers
PARSONSToday�s Free PickGAME: Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars Dec 6, 2009 1:00PM SPORT: National Football League Picks PICK: under Offered at: 47 SPORTSBETTING REASON FOR PICK: For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the "under":Is there any team in the league not living up to its potential more than the Houston Texans?After plummeting from 5-3 to 5-6, and after last week's collapse at home to the Colts, Houston is on the ropes.Matt Schaub was 14-of-17 for 152 yards and a TD in the first half when the Texans led the Colts 20-7. He was 17-of-25 for 132 yards and a TD in the second half when the Texans were outscored 28-7. He threw two INT's and lost his first fumble of the season. Andre Johnson should have caught a TD pass, and they settled for a FG.They limited Peyton Manning to 244 yards, Reggie Wayne to three catches for 17 yards and Dallas Clark to an average of 7 yards a catch.Keep in mind the total has gone "under" the posted number in six of Houston's last eight overall and in four of its last five on the road. On the other side of the field: The losses by Houston and Miami, plus Baltimore's victory over Pittsburgh, means the Jaguars are tied for the second wildcard spot at 6-5 -- one game ahead of Houston and Miami (the Jaguars' next two opponents), the Jets and Titans.With no margin for error, and with home field advantage, and behind a steady-dose of Maurice-Jones-Drew I expect Jacksonville to rebound from their last poor showing.Remember, these teams always play each other tight; the total has gone under the posted number in four of Jacksonville's last six games when playing at home against Houston.Bottom line: Worth taking a look at the "under" in this situation.
ALEX SMARTToday�s Free PickGAME: New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins Dec 6, 2009 1:00PM SPORT: National Football League Picks PICK: New England Patriots Offered at: -3 BetJamaica REASON FOR PICK: Without a doubt, the Patriots have one of the best offenses in the NFL. QB Tom Brady is throwing lasers all over the field, as he has thrown for 3,286 yards and 20 TDs this year. He is almost certainly headed to another 4,000+ yard and 25+ TD campaign. One glance at New England's offensive numbers shows an incredibly impressive team. The Pats rank #2 in the NFL at 411.5 yards per game, and second in passing at 297.0 yards per game. Their 27.9 points per game is good enough for fourth in the league. But take a look at what the Patriots have done on enemy soil this year. Discounting the Bucs game in England, HC Bill Belichick's squad is only averaging 19.3 points per game on the road this year, and it is 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 ATS as well. Granted, a road slate consisting of the Jets, Broncos, Colts, and Saints is anything but fun, but this is still a team that has yet to prove that it can win on the road in this season. The entire season will be on the line for HC Tony Sparano and his Dolphins on Sunday. Last week's 31-14 loss in Buffalo really put a damper on Miami's playoff hopes, especially with the remaining five games of the schedule all coming against some of the elite teams in the AFC. It's difficult to see how 9-7 would be good enough to get the Fins into the playoffs anyway, but a trip up against New England will require them to win at Jacksonville, at Tennessee, home against Houston, and home against Pittsburgh to have any hope of qualifying for the second season. RB Ricky Williams is doing his part even though his fellow backfield mate RB Ronnie Brown is out for the season. Williams has had three straight 100+ yard games for the Dolphins to lead the #3 rushing attack in the NFL. He has eight total TDs in his L/6 games. Miami is still famous for shocking the Patriots when it debuted the Wildcat. However, New England rolled to a 48-28 victory in the return game later in '08, and stomped Miami 27-17 at home earlier this year. The line in this game may be dropping like a rock, but look for Brady and the boys to exorcise those road demons and put away the Fins for good. Play On: New England Patriot