PickNinja said:
Dennis there is profit in there I believe. Again I'm no trying to argue with you but look at teams that won 5,6,7
By the time you get to 8 you have won 3 bets and then you lose one, if you get to 9 you have won 4 bets before you lose one
Now run the numbers for teams on losing streaks and how often they streaks continue
Like I said they number were not gang busters, but season over season it usually turned a profit and no capping whatsoever was involved/
Thanks for finding those numbers
I'm not arguing with you, just showing you the results. If you want to start with teams who have won 5 in a row and play for 3 games, fine, but don't start with 3 because you're losing at 3 and 4. That's all I'm saying. Here are the losing numbers.
3 = 3143-3602 (-0.27, 46.6%) -0.5 playing against
4 = 1609-1951 (-0.37, 45.2%) +0.5
5 = 874-1061 (-0.40, 45.2%) -1.2
6 = 450-603 (-0.61, 42.7%) +1.9
7 = 253-346 (-0.63, 42.2%) +2.2
8 = 151-192 (-0.57, 44.0%) -2.2
9 = 80-111 (-0.79, 41.9%) -0.2
10 = 46-64 (-0.55, 41.8%) -2.3
11 = 26-37 (-0.63, 41.3%) -5.0
12 = 16-20 (-0.61, 44.4%) -13.7
13 = 6-13 (-1.53, 31.6%) -4.8
14 = 3-9 (-2.25, 25.0%) +6.4
15 = 2-6 (-2.62, 25.0%) +4.9
16 = 2-4 (-1.00, 33.3%) -6.6
17 = 2-2 (-0.50, 50.0%) -28.1
18 = 1-1 (-1.50, 50.0%) -36.6
19 = 1-0 (1.00, 100.0%) -100.00