I am referring to forum poster ShayMonue who believes that the best predictor of success is the betting market. I don't track long term records for the pros. Guys like Spartan and Ed Meyer seem to be long term winners. But pregame does not track halves, quarters, props, etc. so we can't be 100% sure. ShayMonue has argued against buying picks on many occasions, and recommends tracking matchbook and betfair to beat the market. He may be brash or arrogant with his statements, but he is 100% correct.
Between 5/29 and 6/10, Costa Rica's odds to win their group dropped from over +5000 to just +1400 at pinnacle. Meanwhile, Costa Rica maintained a price above +4000 to win their group at most other wagering websites. We all know pinnacle to be one of the sharpest betting websites in the world, and this is as CLEAR of a giveaway as it gets to who the sharps are on. Nevertheless, two days before the start of the tournament you could still get an incredible number on Costa Rica at the square sites and likely through any local bookies you may have. This is exhibit A on successfully beating the sharp market.
Click on this. https://twitter.com/golfodds/status/477102995327303680 So even if you can't read betting markets, here you have the LVH assistant manager telling you who the sharps are on. And what a surprise, Costa Rica and France are a combined 4-0 and both are going to win their groups.
What's best about the information I just provided is that it is all 100% FREE. Reading the markets does not cost you anything, and many times it tells you exactly where the sharps are. So when you're all done debating whether pregame or phillygodfather is better for purchasing picks, maybe you'll listen to what ShayMonue was saying and realize that he was 100% correct.
NOTE: The second paragraph of my original post was harmfully edited by mods following my one week ban. I've reedited my post to include most of the original information.