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Gill Alexander - Sports Betting Picks - Free Picks - Handicapper - Pregame.com
Lawdawg
Joined: 08/09/2011
Posts: 188
College Recruit
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Frank,

You obviously are not understanding the point of Gill's note here. Its not about a 20-30 game stretch or trying it out for a week, its about hundreds of games during a season of baseball. Gill spells out each winning and losing periods to show clients how variance can be misleading when looked at in small samples (like your 20-30). I'm actually blown away at how incredibly off your ignorance towards this long term concept is when you point out his results are "truly, truly bad" after fully explaining a 38 unit season. I strongly suggest you reconsider the way you approach handicapping.

Tim "Lawdawg" Lawson @T_Lawson21 www.veteranempire.com

No Limit
Joined: 10/19/2009
Posts: 40919
Rank NA
Top 10 Contributor

Didnt know that the 1 seeds would have to go on the road to play the 1st 2 games.  Doesnt seem fair especially in a 5 game series cause if you get down 2-0 early its even tougher to come back and win then it is in a 7 gamer regardless if you get the next 3 at home or not.  Seems like getting the 2 seed is the better deal if you ask me.

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gill alexander
Joined: 03/12/2010
Posts: 4425
All Pro
Top 100 Contributor
No question, NL. That was my point on the podcast. A one time hose job by MLB on the top seeds for this season alone because of how late they instituted the second wild card. Schedule already written in stone so they "compromised" by limiting travel. Top seeds put at a disadvantage, as a result.


gill alexander
Joined: 03/12/2010
Posts: 4425
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Lawdawg, I had already submitted that post as the Pregame Post of the Year for its stunning across-the-board excellence, but thank you. :)


No Limit
Joined: 10/19/2009
Posts: 40919
Rank NA
Top 10 Contributor

Perfect example is the oakland A's.  Down 2-0 and now they have to go home and win 3 straight AGAIN like they did vs texas.  I guess i can see how the schedule makers would argue that all you have to do is split on the road to start and then you have a major home field advantage but id really like to see it go back to 2-2-1.  Good luck to your orioles, id like to see thome get a title.

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ALL PREGAME POSTED RECORDS BASED ON A 1-2-3 UNIT SCALE.

 

2011 MLB 3* 14-11 +7.89 units

2011 MLB 2* 25-19 +15 units

2011 MLB TOP PLAYS 39-30 +22.89 units

2011 NFL 3* 6-3 +8.1 units

2011 NFL TOP PLAYS 8-4 +9.9 units

2011/12 NFL PLAYOFFS 7-3-1 +6.7 units

2012 CBB A-10/CAA GAMES 32-18-1 +23.5 units

2012 CBB 65-50-2 +9.8 units

2012 MLB INTERLEAGUE 12-8 +8.86 units

2012 MLB 2* 42-32 +18.94 units

2012 MLB 72-64 +6.91 units

2012 CFB 3* 12-8-1 +9.6 units

2012 CFB 21-16-2 +8.1 units

2012 NFL 2* 9-5-1 +7 units

2012 ALL SPORTS 195-164-8 +13.61 units

NBA 55-49-4 +10.8 units (NOV +10.7)(DEC +7.7)(JAN +15.8)(FEB +8.6)(MAR +7.1)(APR +7.1)

NBA PLAYOFFS 7-5 +4.3 units

MLB 19-15 +11.75 units (APR +2)

MLB INTERLEAGUE 1-1 +1.45 units

 

PREGAME DOCUMENTED LONG TERM WINNING STREAK

7/6/12 THRU 2/16/13 (7 MONTHS PLUS) ALL SPORTS RUN 152-105 (59%)

 

2013 PREGAME FANTASY HOCKEY CHAMPION

 

http://twitter.com/#!/no_limit_sports

I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!

gill alexander
Joined: 03/12/2010
Posts: 4425
All Pro
Top 100 Contributor
It is going back to 2-2-1 next year, NL. It's a one-time raw deal this season alone.


No Limit
Joined: 10/19/2009
Posts: 40919
Rank NA
Top 10 Contributor

Oh OK good.  So is this just an experiment?

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ALL PREGAME POSTED RECORDS BASED ON A 1-2-3 UNIT SCALE.

 

2011 MLB 3* 14-11 +7.89 units

2011 MLB 2* 25-19 +15 units

2011 MLB TOP PLAYS 39-30 +22.89 units

2011 NFL 3* 6-3 +8.1 units

2011 NFL TOP PLAYS 8-4 +9.9 units

2011/12 NFL PLAYOFFS 7-3-1 +6.7 units

2012 CBB A-10/CAA GAMES 32-18-1 +23.5 units

2012 CBB 65-50-2 +9.8 units

2012 MLB INTERLEAGUE 12-8 +8.86 units

2012 MLB 2* 42-32 +18.94 units

2012 MLB 72-64 +6.91 units

2012 CFB 3* 12-8-1 +9.6 units

2012 CFB 21-16-2 +8.1 units

2012 NFL 2* 9-5-1 +7 units

2012 ALL SPORTS 195-164-8 +13.61 units

NBA 55-49-4 +10.8 units (NOV +10.7)(DEC +7.7)(JAN +15.8)(FEB +8.6)(MAR +7.1)(APR +7.1)

NBA PLAYOFFS 7-5 +4.3 units

MLB 19-15 +11.75 units (APR +2)

MLB INTERLEAGUE 1-1 +1.45 units

 

PREGAME DOCUMENTED LONG TERM WINNING STREAK

7/6/12 THRU 2/16/13 (7 MONTHS PLUS) ALL SPORTS RUN 152-105 (59%)

 

2013 PREGAME FANTASY HOCKEY CHAMPION

 

http://twitter.com/#!/no_limit_sports

I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!

gill alexander
Joined: 03/12/2010
Posts: 4425
All Pro
Top 100 Contributor
Schedule already locked in this year when Selig pushed it through. So they eliminated the extra travel this one time. Screws the top seeds, though, f'sho.


No Limit
Joined: 10/19/2009
Posts: 40919
Rank NA
Top 10 Contributor

Selig is retiring after this year right?

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FOR ADDITIONAL PLAYS AND OTHER INFO, FOLLOW ME ON TWITTER.

http://twitter.com/#!/no_limit_sports

 

ALL PREGAME POSTED RECORDS BASED ON A 1-2-3 UNIT SCALE.

 

2011 MLB 3* 14-11 +7.89 units

2011 MLB 2* 25-19 +15 units

2011 MLB TOP PLAYS 39-30 +22.89 units

2011 NFL 3* 6-3 +8.1 units

2011 NFL TOP PLAYS 8-4 +9.9 units

2011/12 NFL PLAYOFFS 7-3-1 +6.7 units

2012 CBB A-10/CAA GAMES 32-18-1 +23.5 units

2012 CBB 65-50-2 +9.8 units

2012 MLB INTERLEAGUE 12-8 +8.86 units

2012 MLB 2* 42-32 +18.94 units

2012 MLB 72-64 +6.91 units

2012 CFB 3* 12-8-1 +9.6 units

2012 CFB 21-16-2 +8.1 units

2012 NFL 2* 9-5-1 +7 units

2012 ALL SPORTS 195-164-8 +13.61 units

NBA 55-49-4 +10.8 units (NOV +10.7)(DEC +7.7)(JAN +15.8)(FEB +8.6)(MAR +7.1)(APR +7.1)

NBA PLAYOFFS 7-5 +4.3 units

MLB 19-15 +11.75 units (APR +2)

MLB INTERLEAGUE 1-1 +1.45 units

 

PREGAME DOCUMENTED LONG TERM WINNING STREAK

7/6/12 THRU 2/16/13 (7 MONTHS PLUS) ALL SPORTS RUN 152-105 (59%)

 

2013 PREGAME FANTASY HOCKEY CHAMPION

 

http://twitter.com/#!/no_limit_sports

I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!

gill alexander
Joined: 03/12/2010
Posts: 4425
All Pro
Top 100 Contributor
Nope, end of 2014 season now.


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