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Free Pick: The Honda Classic - EARLY START!

Thread Starter Free Pick: The Honda Classic - EARLY START!
Brady Kannon
Joined: 03/06/2013
Posts: 304
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We did a FREE PICK Video on Tuesday and I jumped all over Lee Westwood (-130) over Louis Oosthuizen in a head to head match up for The Honda.  Westwood has great history here, Louis does not.. and more importantly, I saw Louis laboring with back pain in his match against Jason Day last weekend at The Accenture Match Play Championship. I could not believe he was even playing nor that he was going to be able to hold up.  Well, sure enough.. Oosthuizen withdrew from the tournament today as he too came to figure out that his back was not going to make it.  We wish him a speedy recovery and if he is able to return to form, he'll be a factor at Augusta.

So in light of our Free Pick attempt coming off of the board, we throw out another here in the forum..

Sergio Garcia (-140) over Phil Mickelson

When I first saw this on Tuesday it too was Sergio -130. I saw it as high as -150 and now back to -140. The stats here are pretty close between these two stalwarts but Phil typically has a more errant tee ball and Garcia is typically the better ball striker.  Sergio is also a very good lag putter and that will be needed on the very large Honda Classic greens.. but what I see as the biggest factor here are two things.. Until he won The British Open last Summer, Mickelson has never for one day in his life been a wind player.  He has always hit a very high ball.  Sergio on the other hand can hit a knock down shot with the best of them and is forced to more so on the European Tour.  The wind will blow in Florida this week at PGA National and I give Sergio a solid edge in that category.  Secondly, Mickelson's successes have always come on The West Coast Swing.. Torrey, Pebble, LA, Phoenix.. and The Majors.. not Florida. He is not a Bermuda grass player.

El Nino over Lefty head to head for the tournament.

The Premium Plays (3-Total) are up here now.. http://pregame.com/pregamepros/pro-bettor/bettor.aspx?id=86670#capper

Enjoy The Honda Classic.. Tiger, Rory, Adam Scott.. they are all here this week.

 

Have fun!

Brady Kannon

@lasvegasgolfer

www.LVTeeTimes.com

 

bookbeater11
Joined: 08/13/2013
Posts: 141
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yea phil is making mistakes i had McDowell vs phil in 1st round i pushed but the long grass saved phil late in the round

Brady Kannon
Joined: 03/06/2013
Posts: 304
College Varsity
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Right idea. Push is better than a loss. I am banking on the wind kicking up and some of those good breaks catching up with Lefty. Just never been his style of golf over here but you never know - he is still the 4th best golfer walking planet Earth.

Have fun.  Get 'em on Friday!

bookbeater11
Joined: 08/13/2013
Posts: 141
College Recruit
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thanks BOL

Brady Kannon
Joined: 03/06/2013
Posts: 304
College Varsity
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Wow.  Sergio birdies the final two holes to make the cut by one shot - and we win our Free Pick match up versus Mickelson, who missed the cut, finishing one over par after two days.

We'll take it!

On to the Premium Plays which are all still alive.. John Senden over Rory Sabbatini, Keegan Bradley over Rickie Fowler, and Brooks Koepka over Jason Kokrak.

Have fun.

jotini
Joined: 09/10/2009
Posts: 286
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Thanks for the freebie w/ El Nino. It was a good week for me. Bookmaker only listed 36 players you could pick as the winner. With so much young talent, I placed a "field" bet and won. Had Koepka over Kokrak for the tourney and Keegan over Rory for Sunday, and over Fowler for the week. I did have losers on G-Mac and Keegan to win. Look forward to your insights heading to the Blue Monster!! I'll bet Tiger isn't looking forward to anything called Monster about now!! The Florida swing is usually great for him and a Master's tune up IMO.

Drinks JOTINI Drinks

Always seeking mentors. Never ever, ever, give up.
CASEYWARD420
Joined: 01/31/2008
Posts: 22302
All Pro
Top 25 Contributor

if i ever bet Golf my girl will put me in rehab

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
CFB7948462.202590.00
MLB5444852552.873238.00
NFL4842253.3355.00
Brady Kannon
Joined: 03/06/2013
Posts: 304
College Varsity
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Maybe time for a new girl?  Haha.  Just kidding, CaseyWard420.  Play along vicariously with a few free plays anyway, right?

Great minds think alike, Jotini.. I also had Koepka over Kokrak and Keegan over Fowler for my Premium Plays.  The freebie with Sergio worked too but I did lose one pick on Senden over Sabbatini.. nearly came through too with "The Other Rory's" collapse today.  Nice to have a solid week as I have been a lot of back and forth here early in the season.  Let's roll on into Doral!

Have a good night and a great week, Gentlemen.

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