Well this season im going back to basics and simply playing totals for a while
Lynx/Mercury Over 174 Winner
Past plays has taught me one thing about betting Mercury games, either play the over or no play at all. The mercury are simply going to push the pace and run up and down the court and take as many shots as possible. Past history, between these two teams, the Mercury can get almost any team into an up and down game in the WNBA except Seattle. The Mercury have never been a good defensive team, think Paul Westhead late 80's Loyola Marymount teams.
Sun/Liberty Over 153 Winner
The Sun were 15-2 at home last season but struggled on the road last season, but beat the liberty 3 out of 4 and won on opening day. Do the Liberty have enough of an inside presence to slow Tina Charles and Ashja Jones of the sun. Can the Liberty give Cappie Poindexter enough help to score enough points.
Minnesota -6 New York Liberty (Easy Winner)
The facts are the Liberty lack chemistry other than Cappie Poindexter no one else played over 30 minutes in this past weekends back to back games. Notably Kia Vaughn, last year’s most improved player only played 16 minutes per game. Essence Carson only 20 minutes of game time against Connecticut a team she usually plays well against. Coach Whisenant was so concerned about not giving extended minutes to anyone but Cappie the offense looked disjointed and the lack of team chemistry. The signings of dmya Walker and Miller take away minutes from the young players that helped them get into the playoffs last year.
The Lynx are deep, talented and ready to make a run at another championship. The Lynx got after the Mercury defensively and eventually blew them away by 22 in a run and gun game. Also whats overlooked is that the Lynx brought back 9 players from last year’s championship team and have that chemistry that the Liberty don’t have. Whether or not Seimone Augutus plays with her bruised rib, the lynx have more than enough depth to cover the 6 or 6.5
Tulsa/Phoenix leaning Over two teams that are not good defensively and Phoenix which plays at extremely fast pace is why im leaning that way
Great stuff, GET MONEY!!!!!
"EVERY DOG HAS HIS DAY"
sparks +8.5 and Over 155 for 1 unit each (both winners)
this line looks a bit inflated from the Lynx 2 blowout wins over Phoenix (w/o Taurasi) and New York (Chemistry Issues). The Sparks look much improved and their two wins over the storm minus Lauren Jackson. I think the sparks are an uptempo team, since their coach Carol Ross came to them from the Atlanta Dream. The additions of the Mystic castoffs (anosike, coleman , beard) and the improved play of Toliver, Ogwimede who was the #1 pick and a healthy Candace Parker for now. Their frontcourt should be able to keep it within the number. The Lynx can play any style you can think of, and if by chance Augustus is slowed by her bruised ribs, then the 8.5 to 9 looks even better.
YTD 3-0
Great picks. Thank you
Great job..
Well done mate, keep killin it !!
Busy weekend, between family stuff and time spent at the grill, I missed posting friday and saturday.
Under 165.5 Dream/Fever Winner by 25
the first meeting ended 92-84, but between 48 free throws and the fever hit 12 3-pointers in the first meeting. The value looks to be on the under because , the fever shot 12 of 21 from 3 in the first meeting and both teams shot 48 free throws combined. the Fever have better post players than the dream at this time with Desouza out until after the Olympics for the dream.Possibly leaning towards the fever at +3.5 as well. The fever have only played 2 games in the first 9/10 days of the season and in past seasons they start slow with a few of their players arriving late from Europe and several games bunched togetherat the start of the season. One overlooked aspect is team chemistry and when the players arrive for camp at the start of the season.
Lynx/Storm Over 145 Winner
this is very simple, I think the lync can come close to covering the 11, which would mean they would have to get around 75-80 points. The storm I think the loss of Swin Cash hurts this team more than they thought, when you trade away your 2nd or 3rd best player who provided double figures in scoring to a team that struggles to score will hurt and add the loss of the MVP Jackson until after the Olympics, they will have to slow the pace to stay in games. I think this one goes over but barely, 79-70, 78-71 , something like that
YTD now 7-0
Great stuff! Happy holidays & GET MONEY!!!
Tulsa LA Sparks Under 155 Winner
Tulsa has some major interior issues Tiffany Jackson their leading scorer and rebounder will miss the season because she is expecting. Liz Cambage is with the australian national team until after the olympics. They are shooting 37% from the floor as a team and usually play 3 guards. LA with the return of Candace Parker and some offseason signings and the #1 pick in the draft that have bolstered the roster are completely different team frpm last season. This is a game that I can see getting out of hand and LA's bench backing off to keep it under such as a 79-61 type score
Tulsa +15.5 Christmas makes her free throws this could have been an outright winner
the shock are 7-0-1 ATS last 8 versus the sparks, also the under is 20-8 for the shock last 28 road games and the under is 18-8-1 Overall
YTD now 9-0 +9 Units