Zach Johnson -110 over Phil Mickelson
Phil doesn't like this course at all. It doesn't suit his style. He needs room off of the tee and Firestone doesn't offer that for him. Long and narrow. T58 T46 T48 T43 T21 T15 T63 are finishes from 2010-2015. Just one top twenty and a last place last year. This tournament is only around 60 players every year. He has not liked this course over the past few years. I think he only plays in it because it is one of those tournaments where the best around the world are required to show up.
T33 T6 T40 T4 T23 T33 Those are Zach's placements since 2010, no terrible outings, just a few weak years. Zach was -1 yesterday until the 3 bogeys in a row. He hit just 38% of his greens yesterday, didn't putt up to his standards and still beat Phil by one stroke. I expect Zach to improve today and gain a few more strokes away from Phil as he should struggle on a course that doesn't suite him.