The safest way to make money has undoubtedly been to fade me on my disastrous run, at least some of which was very bad handicapping (Newcastle to win at Southampton, AB to beat Roskilde) but there have been some bad beats too. No excuse though, I keep trying
The best bet today I think is on the under in the FCK-Torino game. Torino's last 8 games: 0-0, 1-0, 0-0, 0-2, 0-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-1. The one game which went over was against Cagliari and a lot of their games go over. FCK's results 1-0, 0-1, 2-0, 1-0, 1-1.
Moreover, this is a classic Staale Solbakken game. FCK when playing away in Europe are famously tight and defensive (the exception was against Leverkusen this year when they had to go chase a result). But in the earlier round the played away to Dnipro and very gladly took a 0-0 which they will be happy to do tonight as well. Moreover, they don't just park the bus, they keep possession, albeit very defensively with very little risk and don't bring their fullbacks forward.
For me this is a 2 unit play at -130.
Record 1-7 (-6.2 units)
Pending future on Manchester United at +1700 (line currently +1100)