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Farmers Insurance Open --- LinksPicks (-.85u)

Farmers Insurance Open --- LinksPicks (-.85u)
RAYMOND LAFLAMME
Joined: 04/01/2008
Posts: 852
All American
Not Ranked

bwiz, my books had a ishikawa/sabb. 1st rd. mu and i took ishikawa. i think jd's walker over woods 1st. rd. mu has some merit for at least a small play simply because woods has not played competitively for quite some time.

bwizzle
Joined: 01/12/2011
Posts: 1906
All Pro
Top 500 Contributor

well if it means anything Ray (which we will see!?!?!) both myself and LP liked Ishi over Sabbs! I agree on JW also, had i had him a bit higher, i would have played him R1! JW is smokin!!

on another note....

way to go LP!! check out the hits as they just tee it up!! hitting Major type numbers!! Keep up the good work!! GDLK!

Bwizzle

bwizzle
Joined: 01/12/2011
Posts: 1906
All Pro
Top 500 Contributor

going final here for R1

SEVEN PLAYS!!!

adding stuard over steele R1

adding laird over woodland R1

GDLK!

Bwizzle

ps

i like the other plays too...but enough is enuff!!

LinksPicks
Joined: 06/29/2013
Posts: 1044
Professional
Top 500 Contributor

bwizzle
!!

on another note....

way to go LP!! check out the hits as they just tee it up!! hitting Major type numbers!! Keep up the good work!! GDLK!

Bwizzle

I'm absolutely floored Bwizzle... I mean over 1100 views before balls in the air is outstanding - something I am very excited about for sure! I just can't thank you all enough for coming in here and mixing it up with me! I wish I had more time to do even more analysis and attack all the angles! You guys def make it worthwhile! 

Now in this business your only as good as your last play... And last week sucked... So I'm looking for a big bounce back week here! And I hope I can help you all make some serious loot! 

Best of luck to all of us this weekend! Let's Get that Money Together! 

-LinksPicks 

2013/2014 PGA  
  Record Units
18h 221-171-33 30.580
72h 81-73-13 (0.720)
Outright 4-184 (36.550)
Top 5-20 28-177 (8.012)
Props 25-22 4.725
Match Play 8-10 (1.350)
Totals   (11.327)

-2014 European PGA Tour -  -(5.2) units

The Archives

-12/13 PGA Tour - +1.44 units

-2013 Presidents Cup - -(4.65) units

Follow on Twitter!! @LinksPicks

bwizzle
Joined: 01/12/2011
Posts: 1906
All Pro
Top 500 Contributor

it is early!! BUT i would like to declare the pick of Henley to WIN today vs ANYONE would be awful! That makes my call TERRIBLE!!

very early to tell on the others! BDJ and guthrie is a real pillow fight! i expected BDJ to be upper tier this week!?

how bout turn back the clock with Stewie in the early lead!!?? prob gone until the am!? GDLK!

Bwizzle

LinksPicks
Joined: 06/29/2013
Posts: 1044
Professional
Top 500 Contributor

Not a bad first round as our 18h plays go 2-0 for +2.1 units. 

We are currently 3-2 in our 72h plays --- but those are tough to look right now with the 2 different courses in play. Clearly our 2 big losers in JJ and Fowler, who both shot 5 over(!), are attacking the easier North Course tomorrow and have a chance to fire a 66/67 or so to make the cut and keep those matchups alive. Can't believe Fowler is 12 shots behind Woodland right now! Just gotta hope he makes the cut and chips away!

Our Top 5/10 plays are actually looking very nice. Leading the way is Leishman (-6) off to a great start! We also have Hoffman (-3), Keegan (-3), CH3 (-2), Swafford (-2) and Garrigus (-1) all off to decent starts. Of course the full picture becomes clearer after each player plays both courses once... But I am def encouraged by the start in this market.

And not too job **** my own horn --- but I pretty much called Tigers round today. He was def rusty while only finding 7 fairways. I absolutely am anticipating what number is put up on him -- but I expect it to be around that +400 mark, and shockingly enough probably will still the favorite even though he is 8 back! If it gets there I am probably going to put a 2 unit play on him (I know, call me crazy!) I happen to think that whatever that number is tonight will be the best number available on him all week. I fully expect him to shoot 65ish on the North tomorrow, which would vault him up into what I believe would still be the Top 10 by tomorrow night.

By my count the 72 that he battled for today was only bested by 14 scores out of 81 on the South today... Meaning only 14 players shot under par on that track. And if my (very quickly done) analysis is correct --- the stroke average was 74.31 today on the South. Whereas the North was 70.47 .... or almost a full 4 strokes easier! So I def expect him to bounce back and get into contention.

That's it for now. I am looking forward to those lines being posted! Both for the In-Play future on Tiger,,, and the 2nd Round Matches!

Til then. Get Money!

-LinksPicks

2013/2014 PGA  
  Record Units
18h 221-171-33 30.580
72h 81-73-13 (0.720)
Outright 4-184 (36.550)
Top 5-20 28-177 (8.012)
Props 25-22 4.725
Match Play 8-10 (1.350)
Totals   (11.327)

-2014 European PGA Tour -  -(5.2) units

The Archives

-12/13 PGA Tour - +1.44 units

-2013 Presidents Cup - -(4.65) units

Follow on Twitter!! @LinksPicks

LinksPicks
Joined: 06/29/2013
Posts: 1044
Professional
Top 500 Contributor

Tiger at +345!! Damn I thought I was being conservative at +400...

Gonna sleep on it and see how I feel in the morning. I almost still fired on it but want to wake up fresh and make sure I still like the move. So look for my decision on that, and possibly some 2nd round plays, in the morning..

-LinksPicks 

2013/2014 PGA  
  Record Units
18h 221-171-33 30.580
72h 81-73-13 (0.720)
Outright 4-184 (36.550)
Top 5-20 28-177 (8.012)
Props 25-22 4.725
Match Play 8-10 (1.350)
Totals   (11.327)

-2014 European PGA Tour -  -(5.2) units

The Archives

-12/13 PGA Tour - +1.44 units

-2013 Presidents Cup - -(4.65) units

Follow on Twitter!! @LinksPicks

bwizzle
Joined: 01/12/2011
Posts: 1906
All Pro
Top 500 Contributor

DAMN!! AWFUL DAY 1!!!

going 2-4-1!!

However i did have 2 units on Cink for day 1 leader! HAhahahaah Yea right!!! i bet Mrs Cink would not have put any coin on that!

Time to dust of the grass clippings and get onto R2! be back soon! may change up the plays a bit? time will tell! GLDK!

Bwizzle

ps

i am not going to say either way about playing TW LP...but i am curious to see what you decide?!

LinksPicks
Joined: 06/29/2013
Posts: 1044
Professional
Top 500 Contributor

Round 2 Plays - each 1 unit

-Brian Stuard (-140) v Brendan Steele

-Rickie Fowler (+105) v Ian Poulter 

-Hudson Swafford (-110) v Hideto Tanihara 

Couple quick notes... 

-Stuard is way higher on my board and hit 85% of fairways yesterday. Clearly he has the driver working and he should be able to take it low on the North Course today if he finds the short stuff again. 

-Everyone is talking about Rickies swing change, and yes it was tough for him yesterday hitting 57% fairways and 55% greens.... But he also posted what may be the worst Strokes Gained Putting number I have ever seen at -5.509. Poulter wasn't much better, but Rickie is too good of a putter to do that twice in a row. I'll take a shot at the dog price. 

-In what may be my favorite play - Tanihara hit 35.71% of fairways yesterday at the North and shot 70. Do that again today, and he won't make the cut. Look for a big number from him if he doesn't straighten it out. I'm thinking 75.

Still thinking about adding Tiger to win for 2 units. Number is now +350. Would love to hear anyone's thoughts on this. My gut still telling me to play it... 

Best of luck out there today everyone! 

-LinksPicks 

2013/2014 PGA  
  Record Units
18h 221-171-33 30.580
72h 81-73-13 (0.720)
Outright 4-184 (36.550)
Top 5-20 28-177 (8.012)
Props 25-22 4.725
Match Play 8-10 (1.350)
Totals   (11.327)

-2014 European PGA Tour -  -(5.2) units

The Archives

-12/13 PGA Tour - +1.44 units

-2013 Presidents Cup - -(4.65) units

Follow on Twitter!! @LinksPicks

LinksPicks
Joined: 06/29/2013
Posts: 1044
Professional
Top 500 Contributor

bwizzle

DAMN!! AWFUL DAY 1!!!

going 2-4-1!!

However i did have 2 units on Cink for day 1 leader! HAhahahaah Yea right!!! i bet Mrs Cink would not have put any coin on that!

Time to dust of the grass clippings and get onto R2! be back soon! may change up the plays a bit? time will tell! GLDK!

Bwizzle

ps

i am not going to say either way about playing TW LP...but i am curious to see what you decide?!

Hang in there Bwizzle.. Gotta trust in yourself brother...  I know you got a great day in there somewhere... Make it today! 

And that Mrs Cink comment was classic. Nearly died after reading that! 

Good luck today bro! 

-LinksPicks 

2013/2014 PGA  
  Record Units
18h 221-171-33 30.580
72h 81-73-13 (0.720)
Outright 4-184 (36.550)
Top 5-20 28-177 (8.012)
Props 25-22 4.725
Match Play 8-10 (1.350)
Totals   (11.327)

-2014 European PGA Tour -  -(5.2) units

The Archives

-12/13 PGA Tour - +1.44 units

-2013 Presidents Cup - -(4.65) units

Follow on Twitter!! @LinksPicks

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