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Thread Starter Vegas Recap of Pacman/Bradley . . .
RJ_Bell
Joined: 06/21/2006
Posts: 14156
Rank NA
Top 25 Contributor

Back in April, Pacman opened -400/+350 over Bradley.

The night before the fight, Pacman was -440 (meaning Pacman betting support up to that point)

On Saturday – the day of the fight - big money on Bradley moved the price all the way below -400 (where it opened).

Vegas lost on the fight.

BetOnline.com reports they lost more on this fight than any boxing match in its history.

Amount of action on fight comparable to an average NFL regular season game.

Consensus in Vegas is that Pacman would be an even bigger favorite in the rematch than the first fight!

Bookie Justice! If you bet on Pacquiao at PaddyPower - Ireland's biggest bookmaker - your "loss" is being refunded.

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RJ Bell: Best Bets | Free Picks | My Posts |My Blog |@Twitter
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RJ_Bell
Joined: 06/21/2006
Posts: 14156
Rank NA
Top 25 Contributor

Line Moves on Fight via Pinnacle:

06/09/12 09:01:43pm
+343
-397
06/09/12 08:48:11pm
+346
-401
06/09/12 08:46:58pm
+334
-385
06/09/12 08:42:37pm
+337
-389
06/09/12 08:41:08pm
+339
-392
06/09/12 08:24:27pm
+342
-396
06/09/12 08:19:04pm
+346
-400
06/09/12 06:45:34pm
+350
-405
06/09/12 06:43:57pm
+351
-407
06/09/12 06:21:21pm
+337
-389
06/09/12 06:19:37pm
+341
-394
06/09/12 06:13:15pm
+345
-399
06/09/12 05:43:33pm
+347
-402
06/09/12 04:49:47pm
+353
-409
06/09/12 04:43:21pm
+362
-421
06/09/12 04:18:21pm
+368
-428
06/09/12 03:18:32pm
+371
-432
06/09/12 02:29:46pm
+354
-411
06/09/12 02:27:49pm
+357
-414
06/09/12 11:51:54am
+371
-432
06/09/12 09:49:28am
+374
-436
06/09/12 09:46:34am
+367
-427
06/09/12 09:18:42am
+363
-422
06/09/12 09:10:39am
+359
-417
06/09/12 07:57:19am
+355
-412
06/09/12 07:49:05am
+369
-430
06/09/12 07:46:40am
+373
-435
06/09/12 07:43:27am
+377
-440
06/09/12 04:37:46am
+381
-445


06/08/12 08:48:52pm
+375
-437
06/08/12 08:45:47pm
+358
-416
06/08/12 06:14:06pm
+361
-420
06/08/12 04:40:02pm
+357
-414
06/08/12 07:01:24am
+353
-409
06/07/12 07:35:31am
-403
+348
06/06/12 01:26:28am
+353
-409
06/05/12 01:35:20pm
+356
-413
06/05/12 02:44:55am
+358
-416
06/05/12 01:59:04am
+353
-409
06/04/12 10:27:55pm
+361
-419
06/04/12 09:37:02pm
+373
-435
06/02/12 11:50:30am
+370
-431
06/02/12 11:50:26am
+371
-432
05/31/12 03:49:42pm
+375
-437
05/31/12 03:49:38pm
+376
-438
05/31/12 03:49:34pm
+375
-437
05/31/12 03:49:30pm
+373
-435
05/31/12 03:49:27pm
+369
-430
05/31/12 03:45:25pm
+365
-425
05/31/12 04:31:31am
+363
-422
05/29/12 04:20:01pm
+360
-418
05/29/12 04:19:58pm
+361
-419
05/29/12 04:19:35pm
+358
-416
05/27/12 03:11:23pm
+355
-412
05/27/12 03:11:20pm
+356
-413
05/27/12 03:11:15pm
+354
-411
05/26/12 09:02:37am
+350
-406
05/23/12 05:26:32am
+345
-399
05/22/12 02:11:35pm
+341
-394
05/19/12 09:15:07am
+345
-399
05/19/12 05:44:37am
+339
-392
05/17/12 05:48:54am
+350
-406
05/11/12 02:56:05pm
+360
-418
05/08/12 05:31:25am
+355
-412
05/03/12 11:41:50am
+350
-406
04/10/12 08:19:35am
+345
-399

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RJ Bell: Best Bets | Free Picks | My Posts |My Blog |@Twitter
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purks
Joined: 02/14/2012
Posts: 3575
All Pro
Top 150 Contributor

Wow. What a great site. I was about to ask for some, any p&l analysis and 'boom'. Thx PG

Don't Be Stupid

Discipline, young purks. Discipline.

RJ_Bell
Joined: 06/21/2006
Posts: 14156
Rank NA
Top 25 Contributor

Segment from ESPN's SportsCenter Sunday - I talk Pacquiao/Bradley decision and NBA Finals odds. Listen: http://bit.ly/MrJ7om

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RJ Bell: Best Bets | Free Picks | My Posts |My Blog |@Twitter
Called a "True Insider" by ESPN
Pick Virgins: $25 FREE! Buyers: 10% rebate!
I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!

Johnny Detroit
Joined: 06/21/2006
Posts: 20796
All Pro
Top 10 Contributor

57% Over 800+ NFL/CFB Wagers Since 2004!

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Johnny Detroit
Joined: 06/21/2006
Posts: 20796
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Timothy Bradley Jr. ‏@Timbradleyjr tweeted this out BEFORE the fight (including the pic above):

Gonna be so nice we gonna do it twice.

57% Over 800+ NFL/CFB Wagers Since 2004!

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Johnny Detroit, Co-Founder and Vice-President Bettors get ready at Pregame.com
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roger1000
Joined: 01/12/2011
Posts: 226
Jr. College
Not Ranked

Two questions:

  • Why did the books allow themselves to be so exposed?
  • Will some books refuse to list the rematch?

Actually, the best would be for not only the books to boycott the second fight, but for fans to do so as well.

Interesting piece in Grantland to-day explicating one conspiracy theory. In short: Top Rank makes twice as much money when both fighters in a bout are from within their roster; so giving the decision to Bradley sets up the rematch and gives them another payday between two of its own fighters.

After that fight, Manny's contract expires; so if he chooses to leave, the path is clear for him to fight Mayweather. (In other words, Top Rank won't let him fight Mayweather, because the latter isn't one of its fighters, and thus its share of the pie would be cut in half.)

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