Belmont Race 1
#5 & #6 - WIN
#1 in this race is making a HUGE drop in class. Shown nothing in 3 MSW races. I imagine he will improve at this level, but I will pass this time.
#2 is the heavy ML favorite. 2nd straight drop. Still has yet to finish in the top 6. But was a factor in last race before fading in the stretch.
#3 has no chance.
#4 Ran well at this price for first time after massive drop. Cutting back in distance again. Not sure that's a good thing for this horse. More distance would be better IMO.
#5 has been unable to seal the deal in three tries at this price. Two thirds and one second. Has a couple of second place finishes at higher tag in his career. Just a matter of time for this horse to cross the wire first.
#6 has been better with the off track thus far in brief career. Was claimed at this price in first try but finished a disappointing 10th. Has hit the board at a higher tag though. A bounce back performance is not out of the question. At 12/1 we are getting fair value.
#7 should be the pace setter. Ran 3rd at this price in last race at 8/1 odds. Led to the 2nd call before fading. I think he has a shot here but I'm not so sure he wouldn't prefer the turf instead? Too many uncertainties for a 4/1 shot.