5* MMA UFC 202 MAX BET
Conor McGregor -130
Plain and simple, the UFC needs McGregor to win this fight. Conor is one of their last superstars. Jon Jones and Rousey are near after thoughts. Also from a conspiracy theorist point of view, there is nothing better than a rematch that the contender wins, so it sets up the 3rd fight.
Most people talked about Diaz taking the fight on just 10 days notice, but so did McGregor. Conor McGregor went out guns blazing in the first fight and it backfired. He landed a ton of punches but wore himself out. You can't do that to Diaz. He isn't the most technical fighter but he can take a beating. McGregor now has the chip on his shoulder and has plenty of time to prepare. I expect McGregor to keep this fight standing and use his excellent striking ability to take timely shots and save his energy. Too many things point to the UFC's golden boy winning this fight. Just think, he was -500 the last fight and is now -130...ton of value here.
BONUS: I do lean the OVER 2.5 rounds. Diaz rarely gets knocked out and if he does, it shouldn't be quick. Also, I believe there is some value on the fight to go to decision at +380.