I know nothing about rugby, but I was trying to read the betting markets and it seems like I might have found some value. In the Super 15 Rugby Final, Bovada has the Hurricanes a -250 moneyline favorite over the Highlanders. Based on the betting markets, I think they should be a favorite of at least -263 or higher. I think -250 is a little light in this one.
I'm trying to gather some actual rugby analysis and I can't find much. But I did find this article on Bleacherreport.
http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2512869-super-rugby-final-2015-date-time-live-stream-for-hurricanes-vs-highlanders
It says that the Hurricanes have been the best team all year and they should come out on top. The last time the Hurricanes and Highlanders played, the Hurricanes won 56-20.
I like the Hurricanes -250 here from a value perspective...but I was wondering if anyone with rugby knowledge has any info for me as far as a game breakdown. And the spread on bovada is -6 (-110) for the Hurricanes while it's -6.5 (-111) on Pinnacle. I'm liking the ML here, but maybe I should take the give the 6 points instead? Any advice would be appreciated.