RACE 1: 8-1-2-7...so much for that start. loss. winner at 14-1 goes wire to wire at a fast pace and won easy. will speed hold all day today. we will find out.
RACE 2: 5-3-1...Loss #1 loses by a nose. Not a very good start to derby day.
RACE 3: 9-10-12...another loss. I am hoping this doesn't become one of those days.
RACE 4: 6-11-1...#6 4-1 ML. Baffert with a horse cutting back in distance that has shown speed and off a layoff...bomber at 23-1 wins. #1 had scratched. another one bites the dust.
RACE 5: 6-2-4-5...G3 PAT DAY...WINNER #6
RACE 6: 6-8-7...G2 AMERICAN TURF...#6 9/2 ML. looked impressive last out. I think he gets a great trip today stalking the speed and should relish the extra distance.
RACE 7: 8-1-3...G1 HUMANA DISTAFF...#8 6/5 ML. she's the class of the field and Ward gets them ready off the layoff...Winner #3, 2nd #8...EX $16.20
RACE 8: 8-3-11-5...G2 TURF MILE...#8 7/2 ML. BEST BET. This is not an easy race but I think this gal is looming HUGE today. Almost won last out in GP after getting bumped and pinched at the break. she's going to get first run on the speed...winner #3, 2nd #5, 3rd #8...EX $88.60, TRI $340.60, DD $65.40...#8 had no excuse. had a great trip.
RACE 9: 5-2-4...G2 CHURCHILL DOWNS...3 horse race in my opinion. will hit this trifecta harder than normal....Winner #4...DD $68.40, P3 $299.60
RACE 10: 10-11-7-12...G1 TURF CLASSIC....#10 12-1 ML. hoping for a wire to wire. WIDE WIDE OPEN RACE....I always tend to lose this race for some reason so i am going very deep in this race for P3's, P4 and P5 (will be playing the P4 and P5 with some buddies to go deep)...loss
RACE 11: 19-15-18-8-6...G1 KY DERBY...#19 15-1 ML. BEST BET. I have been on upstart since his holy bull performance. I think he is the most talented horse and now he breaks from the 16 hole with the 4 scratches. I want him to lay back 7 off the pace early on and make his move from the 3/8th pole. If he tries to keep up with the speed and stalk closer he will be cooked. #15, his wood was impressive. A great trainer that figured something out with the horse in the wood. should keep improving....winner #18.....hit the P4 and P5 with buddies but we broke even on the plays
RACE 12: 3-6-2-4...Finally a nice one...WINNER #3, 2nd #6, 3rd #2...cold exacta $66.60, cold trifecta $732, DD $54.80
RACE 13: 6-8-7-5...winner #6, 2nd #5...EX $91.40, DD $47.40, P3 $177.60
let's hit some big ones today.