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Miami-Fl @ Virginia Wise Guys all over this one
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Tuesday Betting First Look Show
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I've been using chris andrew's power rating numbers. He has miami as a 6pt fav. However when I look at the stats, I would have to agree with your conclusion, that UVA should be able to move the ball on miami's defense and should be able to come up with some stops on defense. However how can I make a play on UVA when my numbers [or chris's numbers] are so far off. I've only seen one uva game this year so far vs psu, and was not very impressed. They seemed very sloppy and did not seem anything like the team that they were the year before. Also when I look at schedules, Miami's schedule appears to be much tougher playing 4 ranked teams. Where UVA has only played some middle of the pack teams like tcu,psu,la tech. Could this not skew the statistics? I think one could argue that on paper UVA looks better but really not sure what to make of this game. But with my numbers saying 6pts of value, its hard for me to pass this up.