3* ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE -21 (-120)
Last week I stated I saw "value" in a 20+ point favorite in K St. over KU and the rout was on as I predicted. As hard as it is to use the word value in a favorite of this size (especially in a road conference game) I am going to state that there is a TON of value with the Crimson Tide coming off of a bye. The Tigers come limping into this one with their starting QB out as well as their center which will not bode well against the best defense in the country hands down. The numbers and statistics do not need to be mentioned but just for kicks Alabama is allowing 7 ppg including a shut out at Arkansas who also started a backup QB. In that game Arkansas also committed 5 turnovers. Missouri has had a not-so-warm welcome to the SEC thus far surrendering 31 and 41 points to South Carolina and Georgia respectively. Well those teams arent in the same league as Alabama IMO and I can see AT LEAST that many being put up against them today and with no offense to keep it close that should be enough.
In a game like this I like to look at certain situational aspects to take the dog... first, home conference dog... well Missouri was at home last week against Vanderbilt and lost and was beat by 21 at home by Georgia in a game that was somewhat close but done in by turnovers (and that was with Franklin at QB)... second, look ahead spot for favorite... well Bama plays at UT next week which is hardly a game they need to look ahead to (if they were playing LSU next week I would beware of the look ahead)... and third, can the backdoor be in order... In Bama's games this year they have given up 21 points in second halves total which leads me to believe that even when up 50, they dont let teams just score on them.
I am going to buy the half point here to be safe, but I dont think we need it.. I see Missouri struggling big on offense and Bama cruising to a 48-10 win.
-Kyle I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!
2013 MLB 19-8
2013 MLB SPRING TRAINING 1-2
2013 NFL Playoffs 4-1-1
2013 NCAA FB 1-0
2013 CBB 4-3
2013 NBA 1-1
2013 ALL SPORTS 30-15-1
2012 All Sports 30-25-1
GOY PLAYS 3-0
MLB - http://pregame.com/pregame-forums/f/11/p/349362/1617434.aspx
NFL - http://pregame.com/pregame-forums/f/9/t/401292.aspx
CFB - http://pregame.com/pregame-forums/f/12/t/403760.aspx
I was thinking 38-13....but i like yours better....GET MONEY.
BOL...FYI all day rain in Columbia gonna be a wet sloppy mess
2012 NFL 31-27-1 +8.23 Units
2012 CFB 17-27 -14.90 Units
2012-2013 CBB Overall +17.00 Units
CBB *3 Bombs 0-2
CBB *2 Star 1-0
NHL -7.45 Units
MLB 2013 2-5 -3.17 Units
Rainning? I guess under play is cash money then. Mizz QB is horrible. I have them last week on teaser and that cost me a nickle.
thanks 40 for the info!
Cash it KJ!
2012-2013 NBA: 43-22-1
2012-2013 NBA Totals: 4-1
2011-2012 NBA: 282-233-9
2011-2012 NBA Totals: 148-110-4
2010-2011 NBA: 93-79-3
2010-2011 NBA Playoffs: 58-47-2
2013 MLB: 1-1
2012 MLB: 66-75-2
2012 MLB Totals: 11-12-2
2011 MLB: 251-205-18
2011 MLB Totals: 178-161-17
2011-2012 NFL: 95-74-2
2011-2012 NFL Totals 47-39-1
2011-2012 NFL MNF 8-6
2012-2013 NFL 8-12
2012-2013 NFL Totals 4-2
2011-2012 CFB 58-75-1
2011-2012 CFB Totals 34-30
2012-2013 CFB 27-24-0
2012-2013 CFB Totals 8-11
2011-2012 NHL 8-5-1
2011-2012 NHL Totals 4-2-1
2011-2012 CBB 200-178-7
2012-2013 CBB 31-21
Overall record: 1137-996-39
A man is sitting at home on the veranda with his wife and he says, "I love you." She asks, "Is that you or the beer talking?" He replies, "It's me.............. talking to the beer."
"The only sure thing about luck is that it will change." - Bret Harte
"I am my own source." - Mike Hook
I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!
In regards to weather, it may make it even harder for Mizzou to move the ball since nobody can really run on Bama and the passing game could get messy... it may shorten the game a bit with the Crimson doing more running, but I still think they put up in the 40 range despite the weather
Factor in turnovers....cause its gonna happen....Good luck guys.
on which side? lol... gametime! This is my largest wager of the year so far in football
you know which side....RTR!