Play On: Boise State -6 1/2
Boise State is a solid favorite with a 73% chance to beat Brigham Young. D.J. Harper is projected for 67 rushing yards and a 62% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 27% of simulations where Brigham Young wins, Riley Nelson averages 1.54 TD passes vs 0.98 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.8 TDs to 1.33 interceptions. Michael Alisa averages 48 rushing yards and 0.38 rushing TDs when Brigham Young wins and 43 yards and 0.19 TDs in losses. Boise State has a 38% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82% of the time. I have Boise State winning by 10.
4* PLAYS (5-2) ($280.00)
3* PLAYS (4-5) ($-150.00)
Good Luck,
Iceman29