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Already bet clemson and now worried because...

CFB
Thread Starter Already bet clemson and now worried because...
jacobgarrett
Joined: 04/16/2007
Posts: 1028
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i have a sports app on my phone that tracks my bets... its also has a feature where you can see what they think the scores will be... decided to back track a bit and see how i would have done following......looking at the number for recent bowl games ATS is 6-13 a whopping 31.58%       and guess who they have tonight.... Clemson 31 West Virginia 27.....

2011 NBA attempt at capping Official Plays 29-15-2 (65.90%) Plays w/ Leans 39-26-2 (60.0%) (really like) plays 6-0 (100.00%)

Nicks_Picks
Joined: 12/31/2011
Posts: 158
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what app do you have?

BillyBarou
Joined: 02/20/2007
Posts: 3750
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If you are that concerned, why not bet the other way if you like the other side.   Helly Billy Walters does it lol

For instance, lets say you bet Clemson -3 for 100, Why not bet WV for 150 at 3 1/2. Hell, the way these bowls are going it will finish 30-27 Clemson, you will push the Clemson bet and win the WV bet?

BillyBarou's current NBA ,NHL ,MLB season record
SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
MLB11882559.002882.00
NBA4860244.44-1800.00
NHL3333150.00-585.00
jacobgarrett
Joined: 04/16/2007
Posts: 1028
Professional
Top 500 Contributor

its called ultimate bet pro....

2011 NBA attempt at capping Official Plays 29-15-2 (65.90%) Plays w/ Leans 39-26-2 (60.0%) (really like) plays 6-0 (100.00%)

Lloyd Christmas
Joined: 07/22/2009
Posts: 4979
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If you bet them -2.5 you should be thrilled.  You've likely beat the closing number

You want a handicapping tip?  Spend as much time getting a good number as you do researching games. Depositing/withdrawing/depositing/withdrawing is a bitch, but I guarantee you will lose less, or win more.  I can't guarantee that for any other piece of advice 

"There is no such thing as luck, just random fluctuations of probability"

jacobgarrett
Joined: 04/16/2007
Posts: 1028
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thanks billy... thought about that.. but still in my gut i like clemson... guess i'm gonna let it ride...

on the other hand I could say 31% is terrible and the program is due for another win haha

2011 NBA attempt at capping Official Plays 29-15-2 (65.90%) Plays w/ Leans 39-26-2 (60.0%) (really like) plays 6-0 (100.00%)

BillyBarou
Joined: 02/20/2007
Posts: 3750
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Top 150 Contributor

I mean, if you did get Clemson at 2 1/2, odds are it wont happen...........lets say you bet clemson for 100, you can bet 50 on WV..........that way you can still follow your gut.......and you have a small but a pretty fair chance of hitting a middle!

BillyBarou's current NBA ,NHL ,MLB season record
SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
MLB11882559.002882.00
NBA4860244.44-1800.00
NHL3333150.00-585.00
jacobgarrett
Joined: 04/16/2007
Posts: 1028
Professional
Top 500 Contributor

true.. i'll prob put 50 on wv +3.5   problem is i just go throught my local and at 3.5 its -135   but i just did hedge a little anyways

2011 NBA attempt at capping Official Plays 29-15-2 (65.90%) Plays w/ Leans 39-26-2 (60.0%) (really like) plays 6-0 (100.00%)

BillyBarou
Joined: 02/20/2007
Posts: 3750
All Pro
Top 150 Contributor

Good luck

BillyBarou's current NBA ,NHL ,MLB season record
SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
MLB11882559.002882.00
NBA4860244.44-1800.00
NHL3333150.00-585.00
Lloyd Christmas
Joined: 07/22/2009
Posts: 4979
All Pro
Top 75 Contributor

jacobgarrett

true.. i'll prob put 50 on wv +3.5   problem is i just go throught my local and at 3.5 its -135   but i just did hedge a little anyways

Way more equity in holding onto your 2.5 if the line closes at 3.5.  especially if you have to pay -135.  That's a no brainer

You want a handicapping tip?  Spend as much time getting a good number as you do researching games. Depositing/withdrawing/depositing/withdrawing is a bitch, but I guarantee you will lose less, or win more.  I can't guarantee that for any other piece of advice 

"There is no such thing as luck, just random fluctuations of probability"

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