Guys . . . New project I am beta-testing this week . . . next week we will launch live - with ESPN.com distribution and national radio distribution . . . tell me what you like, what you'd like to see added, and anything which is not clear to you . . . All sports fans have opinions, but only bookmakers and professional bettors back their opinions with big money. Each week, the most famous names in Las Vegas sports betting provide Pregame.com with their private power rankings. These are the secret numbers that directly influence millions of dollars of action each week. VEGAS RANKINGS are calculated using a proprietary algorithm – generating the final word on what teams Vegas believes are truly the best, plus what teams are being incorrectly valued by the public’s losing bias.
* TRUE POWER tells you how good Vegas thinks a team really is. True Power (home team) plus Home Field Advantage minus True Power (away team) can be used to project the score of any game.* BETTOR BIAS tells you by how many points the public overvalues (positive numbers) or undervalues (negative numbers) a team based upon illogical biases.* POINT SPREAD POWER is the combination of True Power and Bettor Bias. Include home field advantage to project who Vegas would favor in any game.Participants in VEGAS RANKINGS:Jimmy Vaccaro: Arguably the most famous bookmaker in the world, currently the Director of Sportsbook Operations for the Lucky’s chain in Nevada.Jay Kornegay: Sportsbook director at Las Vegas Hilton.Johnny Avello: Sportsbook director at Wynn Las Vegas. Chris Andrews: Assistant Sportsbook director for the Cal-Neva chain in Nevada.Vegas Runner: professional bettor featured by CNBC and ESPN – columnist for GAMING TODAY.Compiled by: RJ Bell, founder of Pregame.com
---RJ Bell: Best Bets | Free Picks | My Posts |My Blog |@TwitterCalled a "True Insider" by ESPNPick Virgins: $25 FREE! Buyers: 10% rebate!I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!
RJ, I think the True "Vegas" Power ranking is likely to be adopted by a lot of people who would think its a pretty credible source (your point around putting $$$ behind the opinions not just editorial). It might be especially powerful in the +/- format relative to last week similar to how BCS ranking evolve week to week. The downside is, since vegas is less influenced by a single weeks games, there would be less movement and a more static ranking might feel stale. Thats the risk I guess.
Second, the "Point Spread Power" + Home field dont really show who vegas favors, does it? EG doesnt vegas consider situational handicapping, influence of key numbers, etc?
Cool stuff, congradulations and good luck with this new endeavor. I look forward to the ESPN connection. Not sure what feedback you want...the panel seems qualified enough (slight understatement).
Dave Basinger
On Twitter @StatLabSports
runner91 RJ, I think the True "Vegas" Power ranking is likely to be adopted by a lot of people who would think its a pretty credible source (your point around putting $$$ behind the opinions not just editorial). It might be especially powerful in the +/- format relative to last week similar to how BCS ranking evolve week to week. The downside is, since vegas is less influenced by a single weeks games, there would be less movement and a more static ranking might feel stale. Thats the risk I guess. Second, the "Point Spread Power" + Home field dont really show who vegas favors, does it? EG doesnt vegas consider situational handicapping, influence of key numbers, etc?
Love it. Really interesting stuff RJ
610-474 +120.04 Units flat betting
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Really appreciate all you do to help us make better decisions. BOL with your ESPN & radio launch looks as if all your hard work is paying off. Know you, Marco, RJ, and all pros put in mucho hours. Thanks again.
I would argue some sort of motivation factor...... So much of handicapping is based off of motivation, and home field should be evaluated such, such as...... Oklahoma off a loss at home, home field isn't worth 3 or 4, it's worth 6 or 7. Also, I would argue bigger games mean more of a home field advantage for certain teams, especially against unproven road favs. But all in all, keep up the great work RJ and everyone at pregame
Pcross I would argue some sort of motivation factor...... So much of handicapping is based off of motivation, and home field should be evaluated such, such as...... Oklahoma off a loss at home, home field isn't worth 3 or 4, it's worth 6 or 7. Also, I would argue bigger games mean more of a home field advantage for certain teams, especially against unproven road favs. But all in all, keep up the great work RJ and everyone at pregame
I'd like to know how they come up with their home field advantage.....It's pretty cool to see their rankings though, though they pretty much mirror all the Polls to some degree...
"EVERY DOG HAS HIS DAY"
Great info on Home Field Advantage and Bettor Bias; like the originality. The only thing that I would suggest is adding is all 120 teams (easy for me to say). Not sure it would be viable and/or feasible but other than that I really think this is cutting edge. Looks great RJ.
"I mean really, I don't see why you people just can't watch the horses run around the track and not bet on them."