Brad Powers – Former lead CFB writer for Northcoast’s Power Sweep | Homepage
Hi Brad, just heard about this video and your extremely early College rankings on the CBB Dreampod so thought I'd sign up to say hello and that I'm enjoying your work ...
Some interesting points made on there, particularly intrigued to hear about the potential offensive coaching upgrade. Buckeyes certainly looked like a team that wasn't maximizing its talent at times last season.
I'm a relative novice to CFB (and hoops, I live in Ireland and widespread TV coverage really only became available the last 5 years or so) but I've had two futures bets already this year ! Really just for an interest for myself next season as I'll be watching a lot of the games.
The first is LSU at 14/1 based mostly on what I've heard about their coaching hires, as they always struck me as a horrendously coached offense for the talent they recruit every year !
I've also bet Washington at 66/1 as I was surprised the price was so big and I know Browning and many of their key guys are due to return this Autumn/Fall. The PAC 12 will be a lot tougher this year admittedly but Clay Helton could contribute to blowing USC's hopes again early judging by his two seasons so far ?
Just checked oddschecker and Paddy Power bookmakers over here currently quoting Ohio State at 12/1 ! Will definitely be looking to grab a piece of that for my portfolio as soon as possible.
G'luck - Alan
Thanks for the question(s). I think you have two solid bets and I have to be honest, I LOVE the value of the Washington bet especially since the current Westgate LV SuperBook odds on Washington are "only" 30/1.
First, let's break down LSU. You're absolutely right, they have massively upgraded at OC with the hire of Matt Canada. He might have been the best play-caller in all of CFB last year at Pitt. The Tigers return 12 starters, and the loss of RB Leonard Fournette will be over-stated. He wasn't even the best RB on their team last year (wasn't 100% healthy at any point). Derrius Guice who did lead them in rushing is a Top 5 RB in all of CFB. They do lose a stud at S in Jamal Adams and one of the best pass rushers in the SEC Arden Key recently took a leave of absence from the team. His return will be a necessity. As far as their schedule goes, they will be an underdog in only one game...at Alabama. Road trips to Florida and Tennessee will be difficult but as of right now, I have LSU #6 in my power ratings and I think they will get to 10 wins at least.
As far as Washington goes, they return 14 starters so they are more experienced than LSU. They do lose some studs on defense led by safety Budda Baker and lose their deep threat on offense in WR John Ross. They do return their 1-2 punch at QB/RB in QB Jake Browning and RB Myles Gaskin. The thing I really like about your bet is that Washington will be favored by at least a TD in 11 of their 12 games! I currently have the road trip to Stanford power-rated around "pick" so they won't be a sizable underdog in any game. They are only #9 in my current power ratings but they have a much easier schedule than many of those teams above them including Alabama and Florida St.
Hope this helps,