We have a huge slate on Saturday! A lot of big plays including our GOW. We will only be providing a write up for our tops plays as there is just so many play this Saturday!!!
**Also if you want to know what our system says for any game on the slate please send us a message or shoot us an email.
3 and 4* Plays with System Projections
Northwestern at Iowa
System: Northwestern 14.21 & Iowa 24.61
Plays: 3* Under 43.5
Western Michigan at Central Michigan
System: Western Michigan 33.79 & Central Michigan 30.39
Plays: 3* Over 57
Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green
Our system doesn’t understand why Bowling Green is favored in this contest…and neither do we. Bowling Green offense and defense are pitiful. Eastern Michigan should have no trouble scoring or stopping Bowling Green in this contest.
System: Eastern Michigan 38.08 & Bowling Green 32.08.
Plays: 4* Eastern Michigan +2
Ohio at Miami Ohio
System: Ohio 35.94 & Miami Ohio 32.04
Plays: 3* Over 52
Miami Florida at Georgia Tech
Two teams that like to play at a snails pace with less than 65 play per game. We all know Georgia Tech loves to run the football as evidenced by 72% of their plays being rushes. The problem is Miami gives us only 2.1 yards per rush and have experience playing against GT type of offense. Smooth sailing under the total in this game.
System: Miami Florida 24.97 & Georgia Tech 17.67
Plays: 4* Under 53
Illinois at Nebraska
System: Illinois 18.05 & Nebraska 40.85
Plays: 3* Over 52.5
Rice at Southern Miss
Rice is going to be completely overmatched in this game. Southern Miss which doesn’t have the most overpowering offense should score with ease in this contest. Ito Smith should have plenty of running room as Rice allows close to 5 yards per carry. In addition, Nick Mullens should throw all over the field against Rice’s lackluster secondary. Southern Miss plays at one of the slowest paces in the nation but we think they will score enough to cover this large number.
System: Rice 16.73 & Southern Miss 46.83
Plays: 4* Southern Miss -25
Michigan State at Indiana
System: Michigan State 27.96 & Indiana 26.66
Plays: 3* Indiana +6
Oklahoma at TCU
System: Oklahoma 34.39 & TCU 29.69
Plays: 3* Under 69.5
Missouri at LSU
We’ve got two top plays in this contest. Missouri’s offense has looked excellent through the first couple games but it is going to be a different story going into Baton Rouge on Saturday. The key to this game is the excellent defenses on both sides of the ball. Both defenses allow under 5 yards to play and if LSU can dictate the tempo, this game will sail way under the total. In a close contest we will take the under and the dog to cover.
System: Missouri 20.08 & LSU 23.48
Plays: 4* Under 54 & 3* Missouri +11.5
UL Lafayette at New Mexico State
Lafayette comes in struggling on the offensive side of the ball but should turn it around against a porous Aggie squad who is giving up close to 7 yards per play. Elijah McGuire who is already averaging 5.3 yards per carry should have a field day. Lafayette has been torched via the passing game thus far this year but Tyler Rogers has really struggled with a QBR of 109.2 and a completion percentage of 50.9%.
System: UL Lafayette 39.34 & New Mexico State 30.94
Plays: 4* UL Lafayette -5.5
Troy at Idaho **GOW**
This is our top play of the day… We know it is tough to take a double digit road favorite but have you seen Idaho this year. Both offense and defense have been a disaster. Troy should absolutely light up the scoreboard in this contest especially on the ground with Chunn and company. Idaho is allowing almost 7 yards per rush! Troy defense has looked great and should continue their dominance against Idaho. This one really shouldn’t be close at the first quarter.
System: Troy 43.67 & Idaho 19.37
Plays: 5* GOW Troy -13.5
San Jose State at New Mexico
System: San Jose State 27.34 & New Mexico 33.84
Plays: 3* Over 52.5
Utah State at Boise State
This is one of our favorite totals of the week. Utah State has been giving up 30+ ppg however if you look into the numbers their defense has actually been playing quite well. Boise State D speaks for itself averaging under 4.5 yards per play. Boise State will be content with a slower paced game as evidenced by their plays per game.
System: Utah State 17.43 & Boise State 36.53
Plays: 4* Under 58.5
The plays below are only leans! Now to the rest of our slate… We will only be listing the plays but if you want to know what our system says about any game please let us know!
Buffalo and BC Under 39.5
Memphis +14.5
Tulane -3
Penn State -2.5
Kansas Sate +2.5
Duke -4
Louisiana Tech -21
UTEP and Louisiana Tech O57
Ball State -4
Central Florida and East Carolina O61.5
Maryland -10
Michigan -10.5
Wisconsin and Michigan O44.5
North Carolina and Florida State O69
Tenn -4
Vanderbilt +10
Oklahoma State -2
Texas and Oklahoma State O70
Good luck everyone!