Just a horrible Day after Christmas. I hope to get it back today. BOL today everyone. More to come.
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
NC State/ Central Florida Under 48.5: Ok getting back to what I do better and that's take Unders. LOL I just can't see this as a high scoring game. The UCF defense has been excellent this year and have had extra time to prepare for a rather average NC State offense that is 61st in scoring and 65th in total offense. The NC S6tate is not terrible bad, as they allow 27 ppg, but in their last 2 games they gave up a total of 20 points, including just 7 points to a high powered North Carolina offense. Tonight they will be taking on less than average UCF offense that has scored just 20.8 ppg in their games away from home this year and that is 101st in total offense for the season. The Wolfpack is 29th in the nation vs the passing is the strength of this Knight offense, even though their passing game is 65th in the nation. The Knights have allowed just 17.9 ppg on the year and have allowed more than 14 points just twice in their last 10 games. The Knights allowed 30 points in their last game which was vs East Carolina and in two other occasions that they allowed 30+ points this year they came back to allow just 7 points in their next game. this is a proud defense and im sure they will be ready for this one, while an improving NC State defense should be able to handle a very conservative Knights offense that doesn't score well away from home.
Boston College/ Penn State Under 40: Both teams run a rather slow paced offense and both teams have played excellent defense this year. That Should lead to a low scoring game for sure. The Lions are used to low scoring games this year as their games overall have averaged just 37.5 ppg, while their games away from home have averaged just 30.8 ppg. The Eagles have not been in as many low scoring games, but with their defense that has allowed just 20.5 ppg on the year I expect them to be in a low scoring game here. They will not score a bunch on this Penn State offense, while the Lions win not score much off of BC. I look for a game in the lower 30s here.
USC -7 over Nebraska: I just don't see the Huskers hanging with the Trojans in what is pretty close to a home game for USC. The Cornhuskers have fired their coach after a 9-3 season, so I don't see the players trying to play harder for the Interim HC. They did play hard this year for Pelini or tey wouldn't have won 9 games. USC on the other hand is thrilled to be off probabtion and back in a bowl game, plus they have the talent edge and a massive speed edge in this game. They are playing close to home and all that should add up to a nice double digit win for the Men of Troy.
BEST OF THE REST
Illinois/ Louisiana Tech over 56.5: The Illinois offense is not great, but they will be taking on a La Tech defense that is missing their top 2 LB and that have allowed 29.3 ppg away from the home. The Illinois defense has been very bad away from home, where they have allowed 500 ypg and 43 ppg. This is not a good defense and they will be taking on a Louisiana Tech offense that has been very strong down the stretch this year, averaging 42.3 ppg in their last 8 games. Both teams should be able to move the ball rather easily on these defenses and put at least 60 points on the board.
North Carolina/ Rutgers Over 68: Rutgers isn't a powerful offensive team, but really they don't have to be when facing a North Carolina defense that has allowed 38.9 ppg overall and 41 ppg vs bowl teams this year. Even though Rutgers hasn't been strong on offense they did score 40+ points in 2 of their last 3 games and they should have similar success vs this bad Carolina defense. The Knights have been decent on defense this year, but no one has really slowed down this Carolina offense that has averaged 34 ppg overall and 33 ppg vs bowl teams. Carolina games have averaged 73 ppg overall and 74 ppg vs bowl teams and this one should hit at least one of those numbers.
Cincinnati/ Virginia Tech Under 51: I just don't feel that Virginia Tech has enough offense to put this game over the total and I don't feel that this Cincinnati offense will score enough vs a tough Hokies defense with extra time to prepare, to put this game over the total. The Bearcats have had their struggles on defense this year, but they did play much better down the stretch, holding 5 of their last 7 opponents to 17 points or less. Granted they have faced some bad offenses in that stretch, but that's exactly what the Hokies have, a bad offense. Virginia Tech is 96th in total offense and they have scored just 23.3 ppg on the year, while in their last 3 games away from home they have averaged just 12 ppg. The Bearcats offense is very good, but the Hokies defense is well and has allowed just 20.4 ppg for the year. This one should be played in the lower 40s.
10 Point Teaser: Illinois +17 & NC State +12.5 & Duke +17.5
10 Point Teaser: NC State +12 & Boston College/ Penn State Under 50 & South Carolina +13.5
Arizona State -7 over Duke
South Carolina +3 over Miami
South Carolina/ Miami Over 62
CFB 2014
Top Plays Overall 50-52-2 (-19.7 Units)... 4 Unit 1-3-0 (-9.2 Units)
Top Play Totals 30-38-0 (-38.6 Units)... Power Angle Plays 4-2-0 (+6.1 Units)... Top Play Teasers 2-2-0 (-0.6 Units)
Best Of The Rest Plays Overall 120-103-2 (+9.00 Units)
Best Of The Rest Totals 62-47-1 (+21.0 Units)... Best Of The Rest Teasers 27-33-0 (-16.6 Units)