Speed of Memphis will be the difference in the game. Neither team has played a very strong schedule but Memphis has played better people overall than BYU.
This is the 1st bowl game for Memphis in several years - under a new coaching staff who brought in new ideas and a winning attitude and culture to revive a dead program. They will be motivated and feel like they have something to prove. That combined with more team speed and better overall talent, will get them over the hump to cover the small number today.