I finished 4-2 in my weekday plays last week but went 7-9 on Saturday. A good thing about Saturday was that I did go 4-1 in Top Plays. I hope to keep it going this week. All Weekday Games will be in this thread and I will Update my records after all plays in this thread are complete. BOL Everyone.
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
UL Lafayette/ Arkansas State Under 57.5: In the last 5 meetings between these team only once did they put up more than 55 points in a game. Last year they combined for just 30 points and while I do not see that low a point total in this one, I do expect no more than 50 points. The Red Wolves are a very solid defensive team, as they have allowed just 20.5 ppg overall and have allowed no more than 14 in each of their last 3 games. On Offense the Red Wolves are a run first team that has averaged 48 rushes per game, so that will help the clock keep moving. UL Lafayette also runs the ball allot as well with 37.5 rushes per game. The UL Lafayette defense is pretty week, but just once in their last 5 games have Arkansas State put up more than 28 points in a game. This one will feature allot of running the ball and some solid defense, especially from the Arkansas State standpoint. The Under is 4-1 in U Lafayette's last 5 Tuesday games, while the Under is 29-9-1 in Arkansas State's last 39 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and 5-1 in their last 6 games after scoring 40+ points. This game should be played right around 50 at best.
Virginia Tech/ Miami Under 49: Miami put up 55 points last week, but that was vs one of the worst defenses in the nation. That will not be the case here, as they Hokies have allowed just 20 ppg on the year, including just 18.3 ppg in their last 3 games. Prior to scoring 55 vs Cincinnati, the Canes scored just 39 total points in their two previous games and they have averaged just 20.3 ppg on the road, which is also the same amount that Va Tech has allowed at home. The Hokie offense is not an up tempo one and while they have scored 28.4 ppg, they will be taking on a solid Miami defense that has allowed just 327 ypg and 24.4 ppg on the year. The Under is 12-5 in Miami's last 17 Thursday night games, while the Under is 17-4 in Virginia Tech's last 21 Thursday night games, plus the Under is 8-3 the last 11 meetings between these team. No more than 42 points in this one.
BEST OF THE REST
East Carolina/ UConn Under 55: I know the Pirates can score a bazillion points, but they have also played some bad defenses this year, including South Carolina SMU, North Carolina and NC Central (FCS School). Everyone has been putting up points on those teams this year. Now lets look at two team that the Pirates have faced that have played solid defense this year. One is the Hokies, who have a top 20 defense year in and year out and the other is South Florida, who doesn't have a horrible defense, but are far better than the other 4 listed above. In those two games the Pirates have been able to score just 28 points in each game.Now they face a UConn team that has allowed 25.7 ppg, but also ranks 17th in total yards allowed, 31st vs the pass and 28th vs the run. This is a Bob Diaco defense that will find away to keep the Pirates under 40 points in this game, especially with the week off. The Huskies are a very bad offensive team, as they have scored just 12.8 ppg, plus they also play a grind it out style of ball with will help limit the possessions of the pirates in this one. Lets also note that they will be taking on a Carolina defense that has allowed just 23.8 ppg on the year. I don't see the Huskies coming close to 24 points in this game. I see this one in the mid to upper 40's.
10 Point Teaser: Virginia Tech +12.5 & Oregon/ California Over 69 & Cincinnati/ South Florida Under 70
CINCINNATI -10.5 over South Florida: Cincinnati has struggle this year on the defensive side of the ball, but just like SMU last week, South Florida doesn't have the offense to take advantage of that. Last week the Bulls put up 38 points vs Tulsa, but in their previous 5 games they were held to 17 points or less in each game and even though they did put up 38 points last week they were held to just 412 yards and outgained by 76 yards in the game. Now they have to try and keep pace offensively with a Cincinnati Squad that has averaged 34.3 ppg on the year and do so with a defense that has allowed 29 ppg this year. The Bearcats have score 75 points in their last 2 games and I just don't see the Bulls coming up with enough points to keep this one close.
Boise State/ BYU Over 57
Oregon -17 over CALIFORNIA
10 Point Teaser: Oregon/ California Under 88 & South Alabama -4.5 & Cincinnati PK
CFB 2014
Top Plays Overall 26-25-1 (-7.1 Units)... 4 Unit 1-3-0 (-9.2 Units)
Top Play Totals 14-17-0 (-16.2 Units)... Power Angle Plays 4-0-0 (+13.00 Units)... Top Play Teasers 2-2-0 (-0.6 Units)
Best Of The Rest Plays Overall 52-52-2 (-3.2 Units)
Best Of The Rest Totals 27-22-1 (+4.4 Units)... Best Of The Rest Teasers 12-18-0 (-17.8 Units)