not stupid at all. the thing to keep in mind is trying to ascertain whether the amount of money is constituted of big bets or the actual amount of public money it is getting.
I really only look at the percentages in instances where the line moves in reverse of the ticket counts like it did last night with Toledo where the line went up on the favourite with the heavy ticket count on the dog. this game the line is moving in the correct direction as Bruno said so either he and his ball st backers will be getting better numbers and it will be close or it was a bait operation to get more ticket counts on ball st.
splitting hairs, IMO you still have figure out who is going to win before worrying about the line being set up as a trap against you