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Thread Starter Vegas Rankings: CFB Dedicated Thread Week 12
RJ_Bell
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Posted
on Sun, Nov 11 2012 8:45 PM

TRUE POWER: How good Vegas thinks a team really is.

HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE: The value of each team’s home field.

BETTOR BIAS: How many points the public overvalues (positive numbers) or undervalues (negative numbers) a team.

POINT-SPREAD POWER: The combination of True Power and Bettor Bias.

To calculate the projected winner of any matchup:

Take True Power (home team), ADD Home-Field Advantage and SUBTRACT True Power (away team).
To calculate the projected point spread of any matchup:

Replace the True Power with Point-Spread Power, which includes Bettor Bias, the same way the actual Vegas line does.

CFB Vegas Rankings – Week 12 

 

 

Home
  Filed

True
  Power

Bettor
  Bias

Spread
  Power

t1

Oregon

6

100

2

102

t1

Alabama

5

100

2

102

3

Florida State

4

93

0

93

t4

Kansas State

4.5

92.5

0

92.5

t4

LSU

5

92.5

0

92.5

6

Texas A&M

4.5

92

0

92

7

Georgia

4

91

0

91

8

Oklahoma

5

90.5

0

90.5

9

Clemson

5

89.5

0

89.5

t10

Florida

4

89

0

89

t10

Notre Dame

4

89

2

91

12

USC

3.5

88.5

0

88.5

13

South Carolina

4.5

88

0

88

t14

Oklahoma St

4.5

87

0

87

t14

Ohio State

5

87

1

88

t16

Nebraska

4.5

85

0

85

t16

Stanford

4.5

85

0

85

18

Texas

4.5

84.5

0

84.5

19

Oregon State

4

84

0

84

t20

UCLA

4

83

0

83

t20

Michigan

4.5

83

0

83

22

Wisconsin

5

82.5

0

82.5

23

Boise State

4.5

81

0

81

t24

Mississippi St

3.5

80.5

0

80.5

t24

TCU

4.5

80.5

0

80.5

Vegas Rankings voters include Chris Andrews (with over 30 years of Nevada bookmaking experience), and “Vegas Runner” (featured by ESPN, CBS This Morning, and CNBC for his professional betting success).

RJ Bell is the founder of Pregame.com (@RJinVegas)

---

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RJ_Bell
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Posted
on Sun, Nov 11 2012 8:47 PM

Vegas Runner's Personal Numbers (@VegasRunner)

ALABAMA 5.5 100 2.5
OREGON 6 99 2.5
FLORIDA ST 4 96 0
LSU 5 96 0
KANSAS ST 4.5 95 1.5
NOTRE DAME 4 94 1
FLORIDA    4.5 94 0
TEXAS A&M 4.5 93 0
GEORGIA 4.5 93 0
CLEMSON 4.5 93 0
OKLAHOMA 4.5 93 0
USC 4 92 1
OHIO ST 4.5 91 0.5
SOUTH CAROLINA 4 90 0
NEBRASKA 4 89 0
STANFORD 5 89 0
TEXAS     4.5 88 0
OKLAHOMA ST 4 87 0
MICHIGAN 4 87 0
TEXAS TECH 4 86 0
OREGON ST 3.5 86 0
UCLA 3.5 85 0
WISCONSIN 4.5 85 0
LOUISIANA TECH 3.5 84 0
BOISE ST 5 84 0
NORTH CAROLINA 3.5 84 0
TCU 4 84 0
LOUISVILLE 3.5 83 0
MISSISSIPPI ST 3.5 83 0
MICHIGAN ST 4 83 0
RUTGERS 3 82 0
PENN ST 4 82 0
WEST VIRGINIA 4.5 82 0
CINCINNATI 3.5 81 0
ARIZONA ST 4 81 0

---

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RJ_Bell
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Posted
on Sun, Nov 11 2012 8:49 PM

Chris Andrews Personal Numbers (@AndrewsSports)

listed alphabetically

Air   Force 69 4
Akron 53 2
Alabama 99 5
Arizona 80 4
Arizona State 78 4
Arkansas 75 5
Arkansas State 72 4
Army 60 3
Auburn 62 4.5
Ball State 69 2
Baylor 77 3.5
Boise State 80 4
Boston College 63 4
Bowling Green 66 3
Buffalo 61 2.5
BYU 79 5
California 71 4.5
Central Florida 75 4.5
Central Michigan 60 3
Cincinnati 79 4
Clemson 88 5
Colorado 49 2
Colorado State 55 3
Duke 70 2
East Carolina 67 4
Eastern Michigan 55 2
Florida 87 4
Florida Atlantic 62 2
Florida International 66 3
Florida State 92 4
Fresno State 77 3.5
Georgia 90 4
Georgia Tech 76 4
Hawaii 46 5
Houston 64 4
Idaho 50 2.5
Illinois 58 3.5
Indiana 67 3
Iowa 65 4.5
Iowa State 73 3.5
Kansas 62 3
Kansas State 92 4.5
Kent State 71 2.5
Kentucky 59 3
Louisiana 74 3
Louisiana-Monroe 67 3.5
Louisiana Tech 76 4
Louisville 78 3.5
LSU 91 5
Maryland 60 1
Marshall 61 3.5
Massachusetts 45 2
Memphis 47 2
Miami, Fla 74 3
Miami, Ohio 60 3
Michigan 81 4.5
Michigan State 79 3
Middle Tennessee 65 3
Minnesota 66 3
Mississippi 75 3
Mississippi State 80 3.5
Missouri 76 4.5
Navy 69 3.5
Nebraska 83 4.5
Nevada 70 4.5
New Mexico 58 2
New Mexico State 48 2
North Carolina 77 4
NC State 73 4
North Texas 61 3
Northern Illinois 78 4
Northwestern 76 3
Notre Dame 87 4
Ohio U 71 3.5
Ohio State 85 5
Oklahoma 90 5.5
Oklahoma State 87 5
Oregon 100 6
Oregon State 83 4.5
Pitt 72 3.5
Penn State 78 5.5
Purdue 64 2
Rice 62 3
Rutgers 73 3.5
San Diego State 74 3
San Jose State 75 2.5
South Alabama 57 3
South Carolina 87 4.5
South Florida 70 4
Southern Miss 54 2
SMU 68 3
Stanford 83 4.5
Syracuse 76 3
TCU 79 5
Temple 63 3.5
Tennessee 76 4.5
Texas 83 4.5
Texas A&M 92 4.5
Texas State 56 2.5
Texas Tech 78 4
Toledo 70 3.5
Troy 66 4
Tulane 52 2
Tulsa 77 3.5
UAB 58 2.5
UCLA 82 4
U Conn 67 4
UNLV 58 3
USC 87 3
Utah 75 5
Utah State 79 3.5
UTEP 59 3.5
UTSA 52 3
Vanderbilt 75 3
Virginia 70 3
Virginia Tech 75 5.5
Wake Forest 64 3.5
Washington 77 3.5
Washington State 68 3.5
West Virginia 79 3
Western Kentucky 68 2
Western Michigan 66 3.5
Wisconsin 81 5.5
Wyoming 59 3

---

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RJ_Bell
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Posted
on Sun, Nov 11 2012 8:50 PM

Chris Andrews Personal Numbers (@AndrewsSports)

Oregon 100 6
Alabama 99 5
Florida State 92 4
Kansas State 92 4.5
Texas A&M 92 4.5
LSU 91 5
Georgia 90 4
Oklahoma 90 5.5
Clemson 88 5
Florida 87 4
Notre Dame 87 4
Oklahoma State 87 5
South Carolina 87 4.5
USC 87 3
Ohio State 85 5
Nebraska 83 4.5
Oregon State 83 4.5
Stanford 83 4.5
Texas 83 4.5
UCLA 82 4
Michigan 81 4.5
Wisconsin 81 5.5
Arizona 80 4
Boise State 80 4
Mississippi State 80 3.5
BYU 79 5
Cincinnati 79 4
Michigan State 79 3
TCU 79 5
Utah State 79 3.5
West Virginia 79 3
Arizona State 78 4
Louisville 78 3.5
Northern Illinois 78 4
Penn State 78 5.5
Texas Tech 78 4
Baylor 77 3.5
Fresno State 77 3.5
North Carolina 77 4
Tulsa 77 3.5
Washington 77 3.5
Georgia Tech 76 4
Louisiana Tech 76 4
Missouri 76 4.5
Northwestern 76 3
Syracuse 76 3
Tennessee 76 4.5
Arkansas 75 5
Central Florida 75 4.5
Mississippi 75 3
San Jose State 75 2.5
Utah 75 5
Vanderbilt 75 3
Virginia Tech 75 5.5
Louisiana 74 3
Miami, Fla 74 3
San Diego State 74 3
Iowa State 73 3.5
NC State 73 4
Rutgers 73 3.5
Arkansas State 72 4
Pitt 72 3.5
California 71 4.5
Kent State 71 2.5
Ohio U 71 3.5
Duke 70 2
Nevada 70 4.5
South Florida 70 4
Toledo 70 3.5
Virginia 70 3
Air Force 69 4
Ball State 69 2
Navy 69 3.5
SMU 68 3
Washington State 68 3.5
Western Kentucky 68 2
East Carolina 67 4
Indiana 67 3
Louisiana-Monroe 67 3.5
U Conn 67 4
Bowling Green 66 3
Florida International 66 3
Minnesota 66 3
Troy 66 4
Western Michigan 66 3.5
Iowa 65 4.5
Middle Tennessee 65 3
Houston 64 4
Purdue 64 2
Wake Forest 64 3.5
Boston College 63 4
Temple 63 3.5
Auburn 62 4.5
Florida Atlantic 62 2
Kansas 62 3
Rice 62 3
Buffalo 61 2.5
Marshall 61 3.5
North Texas 61 3
Army 60 3
Central Michigan 60 3
Maryland 60 1
Miami, Ohio 60 3
Kentucky 59 3
UTEP 59 3.5
Wyoming 59 3
Illinois 58 3.5
New Mexico 58 2
UAB 58 2.5
UNLV 58 3
South Alabama 57 3
Texas State 56 2.5
Colorado State 55 3
Eastern Michigan 55 2
Southern Miss 54 2
Akron 53 2
Tulane 52 2
UTSA 52 3
Idaho 50 2.5
Colorado 49 2
New Mexico State 48 2
Memphis 47 2
Hawaii 46 5
Massachusetts 45 2

---

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hotcorners
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Posted
on Mon, Nov 12 2012 6:34 AM

Thanks RJ

hotcorners's all time record in all sports
SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
CBB2131981151.82-477.00
CFB4946351.58-140.00
MLB7877350.32-476.00
NFL2618159.09615.00
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