TRUE POWER: How good Vegas thinks a team really is.
HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE: The value of each team’s home field.
BETTOR BIAS: How many points the public overvalues (positive numbers) or undervalues (negative numbers) a team.
POINT-SPREAD POWER: The combination of True Power and Bettor Bias.
To calculate the projected winner of any matchup:
Take True Power (home team), ADD Home-Field Advantage and SUBTRACT True Power (away team).To calculate the projected point spread of any matchup:
Replace the True Power with Point-Spread Power, which includes Bettor Bias, the same way the actual Vegas line does.
CFB Vegas Rankings – Week 11
Vegas Rankings voters include Chris Andrews (with over 30 years of Nevada bookmaking experience), and “Vegas Runner” (featured by ESPN, CBS This Morning, and CNBC for his professional betting success).
RJ Bell is the founder of Pregame.com (@RJinVegas)
RJ Bell - Pregame.com Founder & CEO | Twitter: @RJinVegas
Vegas Runner's Personal Rankings (@VegasRunner)
Chris Andrews Personal Rankings (@AndrewsSports)
From Best to Worst
Would Miami be a good play since they are at 75 and Virginia at 69? Mia gets 6 pt advantage and the spread is at Mia +2 or +1 right now. Tricky tricky! I seen K St with a huge pt differential vs TTU being only favored by 7.5 and on the point stats by like 13-14 point advantage and it was a blow out. Don't wanna miss Miami if this seems to follow the trend.
I love this kind of stuff. Thank You
2013 Pregame Battle of the Handicappers Football
Its a trap bet line has moved from Mia -2.5 to UVA -1.5 sharps are betting heavy on UVA
college gameday bump