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Vegas Rankings: College Football Week 9 - Dedicated Thread

RJ_Bell

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Posted

on Sun, Oct 21 2012 9:15 PM

Each week, an elite group of bookmakers and professional bettors provide Pregame.com with their private power rankings. These numbers literally influence the worldwide sports betting market and together form the Vegas Rankings. Four categories convey what the “experts in the desert” truthfully think about the teams:

TRUE POWER: How good Vegas thinks a team really is.

HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE: The value of each team’s home field.

BETTOR BIAS: How many points the public overvalues (positive numbers) or undervalues (negative numbers) a team.

POINT-SPREAD POWER: The combination of True Power and Bettor Bias.

To calculate the projected winner of any matchup:
Take True Power (home team), ADD Home-Field Advantage and SUBTRACT True Power (away team).

To calculate the projected point spread of any matchup:
Replace the True Power with Point-Spread Power, which includes Bettor Bias, the same way the actual Vegas line does.

CFB Vegas Rankings – Week 9

		Home	TRUE	Bettor	Spread
1	Alabama	5	100	3	103
2	Oregon	6	97	2	99
3	Florida State	4	93.5	0	93.5
4	Florida	5	93	0	93
t5	Oklahoma	5	92.5	0	92.5
t5	LSU	5	92.5	0	92.5
t5	USC	4.5	92.5	1	93.5
8	Kansas State	4.5	92	0.5	92.5
9	South Carolina	4.5	90.5	0	90.5
10	Georgia	5	88.5	0	88.5
11	Notre Dame	4	88	1	89
12	Oklahoma St	4.5	87.5	0	87.5
13	Clemson	5	87	0	87
14	Ohio State	5	86.5	0	86.5
t15	Texas	4.5	86	0	86
t15	West Virginia	5	86	0	86
17	Michigan	4.5	85.5	0	85.5
t18	Oregon State	4	85	0	85
t18	Stanford	4.5	85	0	85
t20	Nebraska	4.5	84.5	0	84.5
t20	Texas A&M	4.5	84.5	0	84.5
t22	Arizona State	4	84	0	84
t22	Mississippi St	3.5	84	0	84
24	North Carolina	4	83	0	83
25	Texas Tech	4	82.5	0	82.5

Vegas Rankings voters include Chris Andrews (with over 30 years of Nevada bookmaking experience), and “Vegas Runner” (featured by ESPN, CBS This Morning, and CNBC for his professional betting success).

RJ Bell is the founder of Pregame.com. Follow on twitter: @RJinVegas

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RJ_Bell

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Posts: 14156

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Posted

on Sun, Oct 21 2012 9:17 PM

Chris Andrews: Personal Power Rankings (alphabetical)
(follow on twitter: @AndrewsSports)

Team	Rating	Home Field
Air Force	69	4
Akron	56	2
Alabama	100	5
Arizona	81	4
Arizona State	83	4
Arkansas	75	5
Arkansas State	67	4
Army	55	3
Auburn	69	4.5
Ball State	69	2
Baylor	79	3.5
Boise State	80	6
Boston College	63	4
Bowling Green	66	3
Buffalo	61	2.5
BYU	77	5
California	74	4.5
Central Florida	74	4.5
Central Michigan	60	3
Cincinnati	79	4
Clemson	85	5
Colorado	53	3.5
Colorado State	51	3
Duke	73	2
East Carolina	67	4
Eastern Michigan	56	2
Florida	92	5
Florida Atlantic	53	2
Florida International	66	3
Florida State	92	4
Fresno State	75	3.5
Georgia	87	5
Georgia Tech	76	4
Hawaii	46	5
Houston	68	4
Idaho	51	2.5
Illinois	62	3.5
Indiana	66	3
Iowa	72	4.5
Iowa State	77	3.5
Kansas	59	3
Kansas State	92	4.5
Kent State	69	2.5
Kentucky	61	3
Louisiana	72	3
Louisiana-Monroe	72	3.5
Louisiana Tech	78	4
Louisville	79	3.5
LSU	91	5
Maryland	70	3
Marshall	67	3.5
Massachusetts	47	2
Memphis	48	2
Miami, Fla	74	3
Miami, Ohio	59	3
Michigan	83	4.5
Michigan State	78	4.5
Middle Tennessee	61	3
Minnesota	67	3
Mississippi	76	3
Mississippi State	82	3.5
Missouri	72	4.5
Navy	66	3.5
Nebraska	82	4.5
Nevada	73	4.5
New Mexico	63	2
New Mexico State	48	2
North Carolina	81	4
NC State	76	4
North Texas	60	3
Northern Illinois	75	4
Northwestern	73	3
Notre Dame	85	4
Ohio U	71	3.5
Ohio State	83	5
Oklahoma	92	5.5
Oklahoma State	87	5
Oregon	97	6
Oregon State	84	4.5
Pitt	72	3.5
Penn State	79	5.5
Purdue	74	3.5
Rice	59	3
Rutgers	74	3.5
San Diego State	72	3
San Jose State	73	2.5
South Alabama	53	3
South Carolina	90	4.5
South Florida	72	4
Southern Miss	62	4.5
SMU	62	3
Stanford	83	4.5
Syracuse	71	3
TCU	78	5
Temple	65	3.5
Tennessee	75	4.5
Texas	84	4.5
Texas A&M	82	4.5
Texas State	55	2.5
Texas Tech	81	4
Toledo	71	3.5
Troy	67	4
Tulane	50	2
Tulsa	75	3.5
UAB	58	2.5
UCLA	78	4
U Conn	66	4
UNLV	58	3
USC	91	4.5
Utah	75	5
Utah State	78	3.5
UTEP	58	3.5
UTSA	52	3
Vanderbilt	74	3
Virginia	63	3
Virginia Tech	76	5.5
Wake Forest	65	3.5
Washington	74	3.5
Washington State	67	3.5
West Virginia	84	5
Western Kentucky	72	2
Western Michigan	67	3.5
Wisconsin	81	5.5
Wyoming	62	3

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RJ_Bell

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Posts: 14156

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Posted

on Sun, Oct 21 2012 9:18 PM

Chris Andrews: Personal Power Rankings (Best to Worst)
(follow on twitter: @AndrewsSports)

Team	Rating	Home Field
Alabama	100	5
Oregon	97	6
Florida	92	5
Florida State	92	4
Kansas State	92	4.5
Oklahoma	92	5.5
LSU	91	5
USC	91	4.5
South Carolina	90	4.5
Georgia	87	5
Oklahoma State	87	5
Clemson	85	5
Notre Dame	85	4
Oregon State	84	4.5
Texas	84	4.5
West Virginia	84	5
Arizona State	83	4
Michigan	83	4.5
Ohio State	83	5
Stanford	83	4.5
Mississippi State	82	3.5
Nebraska	82	4.5
Texas A&M	82	4.5
Arizona	81	4
North Carolina	81	4
Texas Tech	81	4
Wisconsin	81	5.5
Boise State	80	6
Baylor	79	3.5
Cincinnati	79	4
Louisville	79	3.5
Penn State	79	5.5
Louisiana Tech	78	4
Michigan State	78	4.5
TCU	78	5
UCLA	78	4
Utah State	78	3.5
BYU	77	5
Iowa State	77	3.5
Georgia Tech	76	4
Mississippi	76	3
NC State	76	4
Virginia Tech	76	5.5
Arkansas	75	5
Fresno State	75	3.5
Northern Illinois	75	4
Tennessee	75	4.5
Tulsa	75	3.5
Utah	75	5
California	74	4.5
Central Florida	74	4.5
Miami, Fla	74	3
Purdue	74	3.5
Rutgers	74	3.5
Vanderbilt	74	3
Washington	74	3.5
Duke	73	2
Nevada	73	4.5
Northwestern	73	3
San Jose State	73	2.5
Iowa	72	4.5
Louisiana	72	3
Louisiana-Monroe	72	3.5
Missouri	72	4.5
Pitt	72	3.5
San Diego State	72	3
South Florida	72	4
Western Kentucky	72	2
Ohio U	71	3.5
Syracuse	71	3
Toledo	71	3.5
Maryland	70	3
Air Force	69	4
Auburn	69	4.5
Ball State	69	2
Kent State	69	2.5
Houston	68	4
Arkansas State	67	4
East Carolina	67	4
Marshall	67	3.5
Minnesota	67	3
Troy	67	4
Washington State	67	3.5
Western Michigan	67	3.5
Bowling Green	66	3
Florida International	66	3
Indiana	66	3
Navy	66	3.5
U Conn	66	4
Temple	65	3.5
Wake Forest	65	3.5
Boston College	63	4
New Mexico	63	2
Virginia	63	3
Illinois	62	3.5
Southern Miss	62	4.5
SMU	62	3
Wyoming	62	3
Buffalo	61	2.5
Kentucky	61	3
Middle Tennessee	61	3
Central Michigan	60	3
North Texas	60	3
Kansas	59	3
Miami, Ohio	59	3
Rice	59	3
UAB	58	2.5
UNLV	58	3
UTEP	58	3.5
Akron	56	2
Eastern Michigan	56	2
Army	55	3
Texas State	55	2.5
Colorado	53	3.5
Florida Atlantic	53	2
South Alabama	53	3
UTSA	52	3
Colorado State	51	3
Idaho	51	2.5
Tulane	50	2
Memphis	48	2
New Mexico State	48	2
Massachusetts	47	2
Hawaii	46	5

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RJ Bell: Best Bets | Free Picks | My Posts |My Blog |@Twitter
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RJ_Bell

Joined: 06/21/2006

Posts: 14156

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Posted

on Sun, Oct 21 2012 9:20 PM

Vegas Runner's Personal Power Rankings
(follow on Twitter: @VegasRunner)

ALABAMA	5.5	101.5
OREGON	6	98.5
LSU	5	97
FLORIDA ST	4	97
FLORIDA	4.5	96
USC	4	96
OKLAHOMA	4.5	95.5
NOTRE DAME	4	94.5
KANSAS ST	4	94
SOUTH CAROLINA	4	93.5
OHIO ST	4.5	93
GEORGIA	4.5	92.5
CLEMSON	4.5	92
MICHIGAN	4	91
TEXAS	4.5	91
WEST VIRGINIA	4.5	90.5
TEXAS A&M	4.5	90
OKLAHOMA ST	4	90
STANFORD	5	90
NEBRASKA	4	89.5
MISSISSIPPI ST	3.5	89
LOUISVILLE	3.5	88
OREGON ST	3.5	88
NORTH CAROLINA	3.5	87.5
ARIZONA ST	4	87
TEXAS TECH	4	87
WISCONSIN	4.5	86
BOISE ST	5.5	86
LOUISIANA TECH	3.5	86
RUTGERS	3	86
MICHIGAN ST	4	85.5
TCU	4	85
NC STATE	3.5	85
CINCINNATI	3.5	85
TENNESSEE	4	85

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RJ Bell: Best Bets | Free Picks | My Posts |My Blog |@Twitter
Called a "True Insider" by ESPN
Pick Virgins: $25 FREE! Buyers: 10% rebate!
I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!

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