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Dedicated Power Ratings thread - CFB Week 7

RJ_Bell

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Posted

on Sun, Oct 7 2012 9:16 PM

Each week, an elite group of bookmakers and professional bettors provide Pregame.com with their private power rankings. These numbers literally influence the worldwide sports betting market and together form the Vegas Rankings. Four categories convey what the “experts in the desert” truthfully think about the teams:

TRUE POWER: How good Vegas thinks a team really is.

HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE: The value of each team’s home field.

BETTOR BIAS: How many points the public overvalues (positive numbers) or undervalues (negative numbers) a team.

POINT-SPREAD POWER: The combination of True Power and Bettor Bias.

To calculate the projected winner of any matchup:

Take True Power (home team), ADD Home-Field Advantage and SUBTRACT True Power (away team).

To calculate the projected point spread of any matchup:

Replace the True Power with Point-Spread Power, which includes Bettor Bias, the same way the actual Vegas line does.

CFB Vegas Rankings – Week 7

		Hm Field	TRUE Power	Bettor Bias	Spread Power
1	Alabama	5	100	2.5	102.5
2	Oregon	6	97	1.5	98.5
3	Florida State	4	93.5	0	93.5
4	LSU	5	92.5	0	92.5
t5	Florida	5	91.5	0	91.5
t5	South Carolina	4.5	91.5	0.5	92
t7	Texas	4.5	91	0	91
t7	West Virginia	5	91	0	91
t7	Oklahoma	5	91	0	91
t7	USC	4.5	91	0.5	91.5
11	Kansas State	4.5	90.5	0	90.5
t12	Georgia	5	89	0	89
t12	Notre Dame	4	89	0	89
t14	Oklahoma State	4.5	87	0	87
t14	Ohio State	5	87	0.5	87.5
16	Clemson	5	86.5	0	86.5
17	Michigan	4.5	85.5	0	85.5
t18	Nebraska	4.5	85	0	85
t18	Stanford	4.5	85	0	85
t18	Texas A&M	4.5	85	0	85
t21	Arizona State	4	83.5	0	83.5
t21	North Carolina	4	83.5	0	83.5
23	Oregon State	4	83	0	83
24	Michigan State	4.5	82.5	0	82.5
25	Mississippi State	3.5	82	0	82

Vegas Rankings voters include Chris Andrews (with over 30 years of Nevada bookmaking experience), and “Vegas Runner” (featured by ESPN, CBS This Morning, and CNBC for his professional betting success).

RJ Bell is the founder of Pregame.com - Follow on twitter: @RJinVegas

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RJ_Bell

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Posted

on Sun, Oct 7 2012 9:18 PM

Chris Andrews Personal Power Rankings (alphabetical).
Follow on Twitter at: @AndrewsSports

Air Force	69	4
Akron	56	2
Alabama	100	5
Arizona	79	4
Arizona State	82	4
Arkansas	70	5
Arkansas State	67	4
Army	57	3
Auburn	70	4.5
Ball State	68	2
Baylor	78	3.5
Boise State	80	6
Boston College	63	4
Bowling Green	65	3
Buffalo	64	2.5
BYU	78	5
California	74	4.5
Central Florida	76	4.5
Central Michigan	62	3
Cincinnati	80	4
Clemson	85	5
Colorado	55	3.5
Colorado State	52	3
Duke	71	2
East Carolina	66	4
Eastern Michigan	54	2
Florida	91	5
Florida Atlantic	53	2
Florida International	60	3
Florida State	92	4
Fresno State	75	3.5
Georgia	88	5
Georgia Tech	76	4
Hawaii	46	5
Houston	69	4
Idaho	53	2.5
Illinois	66	3.5
Indiana	64	3
Iowa	68	4.5
Iowa State	74	3.5
Kansas	63	3
Kansas State	90	4.5
Kent State	68	2.5
Kentucky	65	3
Louisiana	72	3
Louisiana-Monroe	72	3.5
Louisiana Tech	78	4
Louisville	79	3.5
LSU	91	5
Maryland	65	3
Marshall	66	3.5
Massachusetts	48	2
Memphis	49	2
Miami, Fla	74	3
Miami, Ohio	61	3
Michigan	84	4.5
Michigan State	80	4.5
Middle Tennessee	60	3
Minnesota	67	3
Mississippi	73	3
Mississippi State	80	3.5
Missouri	76	4.5
Navy	65	3.5
Nebraska	83	4.5
Nevada	75	4.5
New Mexico	60	2
New Mexico State	48	2
North Carolina	82	4
NC State	78	4
North Texas	60	3
Northern Illinois	72	4
Northwestern	72	3
Notre Dame	87	4
Ohio U	72	3.5
Ohio State	85	5
Oklahoma	90	5.5
Oklahoma State	86	5
Oregon	97	6
Oregon State	82	4.5
Pitt	70	3.5
Penn State	75	5.5
Purdue	74	3.5
Rice	57	3
Rutgers	75	3.5
San Diego State	68	3
San Jose State	73	2.5
South Alabama	52	3
South Carolina	90	4.5
South Florida	69	4
Southern Miss	63	4.5
SMU	65	3
Stanford	83	4.5
Syracuse	69	3
TCU	79	5
Temple	63	3.5
Tennessee	80	4.5
Texas	91	4.5
Texas A&M	82	4.5
Texas State	53	2.5
Texas Tech	77	4
Toledo	69	3.5
Troy	69	4
Tulane	42	2
Tulsa	74	3.5
UAB	59	2.5
UCLA	79	4
U Conn	70	4
UNLV	57	3
USC	90	4.5
Utah	70	5
Utah State	76	3.5
UTEP	62	3.5
UTSA	57	3
Vanderbilt	74	3
Virginia	72	3
Virginia Tech	76	5.5
Wake Forest	64	3.5
Washington	76	3.5
Washington State	71	3.5
West Virginia	91	5
Western Kentucky	71	2
Western Michigan	68	3.5
Wisconsin	77	5.5
Wyoming	63	3

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RJ_Bell

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Posted

on Sun, Oct 7 2012 9:20 PM

Chris Andrews Personal Power Rankings (highest to lowest).
Follow on Twitter at: @AndrewsSports

Alabama	100	5
Oregon	97	6
Florida State	92	4
Florida	91	5
LSU	91	5
Texas	91	4.5
West Virginia	91	5
Kansas State	90	4.5
Oklahoma	90	5.5
South Carolina	90	4.5
USC	90	4.5
Georgia	88	5
Notre Dame	87	4
Oklahoma State	86	5
Clemson	85	5
Ohio State	85	5
Michigan	84	4.5
Nebraska	83	4.5
Stanford	83	4.5
Arizona State	82	4
North Carolina	82	4
Oregon State	82	4.5
Texas A&M	82	4.5
Boise State	80	6
Cincinnati	80	4
Michigan State	80	4.5
Mississippi State	80	3.5
Tennessee	80	4.5
Arizona	79	4
Louisville	79	3.5
TCU	79	5
UCLA	79	4
Baylor	78	3.5
BYU	78	5
Louisiana Tech	78	4
NC State	78	4
Texas Tech	77	4
Wisconsin	77	5.5
Central Florida	76	4.5
Georgia Tech	76	4
Missouri	76	4.5
Utah State	76	3.5
Virginia Tech	76	5.5
Washington	76	3.5
Fresno State	75	3.5
Nevada	75	4.5
Penn State	75	5.5
Rutgers	75	3.5
California	74	4.5
Iowa State	74	3.5
Miami, Fla	74	3
Purdue	74	3.5
Tulsa	74	3.5
Vanderbilt	74	3
Mississippi	73	3
San Jose State	73	2.5
Louisiana	72	3
Louisiana-Monroe	72	3.5
Northern Illinois	72	4
Northwestern	72	3
Ohio U	72	3.5
Virginia	72	3
Duke	71	2
Washington State	71	3.5
Western Kentucky	71	2
Arkansas	70	5
Auburn	70	4.5
Pitt	70	3.5
U Conn	70	4
Utah	70	5
Air Force	69	4
Houston	69	4
South Florida	69	4
Syracuse	69	3
Toledo	69	3.5
Troy	69	4
Ball State	68	2
Iowa	68	4.5
Kent State	68	2.5
San Diego State	68	3
Western Michigan	68	3.5
Arkansas State	67	4
Minnesota	67	3
East Carolina	66	4
Illinois	66	3.5
Marshall	66	3.5
Bowling Green	65	3
Kentucky	65	3
Maryland	65	3
Navy	65	3.5
SMU	65	3
Buffalo	64	2.5
Indiana	64	3
Wake Forest	64	3.5
Boston College	63	4
Kansas	63	3
Southern Miss	63	4.5
Temple	63	3.5
Wyoming	63	3
Central Michigan	62	3
UTEP	62	3.5
Miami, Ohio	61	3
Florida International	60	3
Middle Tennessee	60	3
New Mexico	60	2
North Texas	60	3
UAB	59	2.5
Army	57	3
Rice	57	3
UNLV	57	3
UTSA	57	3
Akron	56	2
Colorado	55	3.5
Eastern Michigan	54	2
Florida Atlantic	53	2
Idaho	53	2.5
Texas State	53	2.5
Colorado State	52	3
South Alabama	52	3
Memphis	49	2
Massachusetts	48	2
New Mexico State	48	2
Hawaii	46	5
Tulane	42	2

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RJ Bell: Best Bets | Free Picks | My Posts |My Blog |@Twitter
Called a "True Insider" by ESPN
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RJ_Bell

Joined: 06/21/2006

Posts: 14159

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Posted

on Sun, Oct 7 2012 9:22 PM

Vegas Runner's Personal Power Ratings
Follow on Twitter @VegasRunner

ALABAMA	5.5	101.5
OREGON	6	98
LSU	5	97
FLORIDA ST	4	97
S. CAROLINA	4	96
USC	4	95
OKLAHOMA	4.5	94
FLORIDA	4.5	94
NOTRE DAME	4	93.5
WVU	4.5	93
KANSAS ST	4	93
TEXAS	4	93
GEORGIA	4.5	93
OHIO ST	4.5	92.5
CLEMSON	4.5	91
TEXAS A&M	4.5	90.5
NEBRASKA	4	90
OKLAHOMA ST	4	90
STANFORD	5	90
MICHIGAN	4	89
TCU	4	89
MICHIGAN ST	4	88
MISSISSIPPI ST	3.5	87.5
ARIZONA ST	4	87
N. CAROLINA	3.5	87
LOUISVILLE	3.5	87
TENNESSEE	4	86.5
OREGON ST	3.5	86
BOISE ST	5.5	86
WISCONSIN	4.5	85
BYU	4.5	85
RUTGERS	3	84
VIRGINIA TECH	4.5	83.5
BAYLOR	3.5	83
UCLA	3.5	83

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RJ Bell: Best Bets | Free Picks | My Posts |My Blog |@Twitter
Called a "True Insider" by ESPN
Pick Virgins: $25 FREE! Buyers: 10% rebate!
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