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Great insight here Pal

Great stuff DAve, UCF Godfrey has been moved to WR and Punt Returner if that has any bearing for you

elijah83

Great stuff DAve, UCF Godfrey has been moved to WR and Punt Returner if that has any bearing for you

Thought I'd throw another one out there while I had time in between today's 3* MLB play and NFL later.

Rutgers at Tulane: There is, unfortunately, no chance I could lay those points even against Tulane. Rutgers will indeed return 16 of their top 20 tacklers from a Top-10 (scoring-wise) defense, so they once again will be involded in tons of unders, I would think. My issue with them covering three touchdowns is not with said defense, it's with the offense. Let's not forget they lost Sanu to the NFL, but they also only return 2 of 5 offensive lineman from a group that was suspect to begin with.

And the Bob Toledo era ended at Tulane in rather dramatic fashion, as they simply got crushed on both sides of the ball last year. They hired Curtis Johnson who was the receivers coach with the 'Canes during many of their glory years and has been in that position with the New Orleans Saints for the last six years, and he's going to turn Tulane back into a pro-style offense. The tough thing for me there is that he'll do it with Toledo's kids, who were recruited to play in a different style. No unlike what I said about Mike Leach as WSU. They do bring back a talented RB in Orleans Darkwa, so if Griffin can limit the turnovers they may well cover this game at home.

They only total I saw was 48 at BetOnline, and with a gun to my head I'd say this stays under, and if you made me right now I'd think that perhaps the Green Wave may well get a back door job in this one, especially if Rutgers DOES get out early and play everyone off the bench late.

Here's one for you. Week number two. Baylor will probably be favored by too many at home against Sam Houston State.

Florida International at Duke: This will probably be a fairly heavily bet game. My initial lean was to FIU simply because we love Coach Cristobal, and they return almost all their defensive starters from a year ago, and that was a defense that playing in the Sun Belt conference (all offense) was able to hold people under 20 PPG. The downside here is that there's no more TY Hitlon or Wesley Carroll, so they'll be very young under center, and of course on the road

FIU lost to Duke at home last year, 31-27, which does have great bearing IMO on this game. Last season Duke couldn't score and their defense was sloppy, but they bring back eight offensive starters, including Sean Renfree (QB) who threw for well over 300 in last years' game. Having said that, clearly Cristobal will make the adjustments and FIU has all the motivation here. But, I watched that line go down and back up to -4. So, as kewl as it may be to take FIU,and we still might, I lean slightly to Duke, but lean a fair bit to under whatever total they post. That's all I got for now.

more great stuff, & right on the money w/ the breakdown.

two most overrated players in sunbelt LY:  TY Hilton, and that kid at MTSU (sounds like a santa reindeer); both were built up and fell flat.

Cristobol is a great coach, that game will be a grunge match.

Northern Illinois won the MAC last year Dave.  They are not a FCS school.  And it's NIU, not UNI.  UNI is the University of Northern Iowa, my alma mater (who is a top 10 FCS school).  I think you are confusing the 2 schools.