FASCINATED by Southern Mississippi comments & Eagles in generalAgree that you're on to something here w/So MissDespite New HC replacing an underrated/underappreciated HC Fedora (As we know, Fedora moved on to NC, after 0.642 Win% (29-23 ATS) 4 Yrs in Hattiesburg)
w/NEB Opening at -17 vs. SO MISS, at 12-2 in 2011Line up to NEBRASKA -20 many places (Bookmaker, et al)
VEGAS must be weighing certain So Miss variables very heavy (w/many folks jumping after it)
1. 1st-Timer', New HC Johnson (Former DC, Defensive Guru)2. New Untested, QB Campbell (ZERO Snaps in 2011) (Steele Unit Rating has SO MISS Tied w/UAB for weakest 'QB-UNIT' in C-USA)
Speaking of 1st Time HC's....Crunched ATS numbers a few years back For new First-Timer HC's playing initial Game 1 on road v ranked opponents
Collective ATS was SUB .200 (.178), going from 2009 back to 1993
Instead, VEGAS seems to be essentially de-valuing (&/or loves Huskers)
1. SO MISS Stellar Line Strength(s)BOTH So Miss DL & OL arguably finest, strongest UNITS among all 'Non AQ' ProgramsStrong O-LINE & D-LINE's (obviously)Tend to make NEW HC & (OL particularly) new QB's transitions a helluvalot smoother
2. SO MISS Rush AttackNo one seems to be talking about So Miss strong running gameSO MISS Jr Hardy listed as New Starter & of course, he's not NEW to Eagle BackfieldHardy lost all of 2011 w/Injury; yet he's one strong back (6-0 | 221)Hardy was awfully good in All-Conf Redshirt Fr Season
3. SO MISS Special TeamsSo Miss S-Teams look as good as EVER, as always, as usual...Especially USM Coverage Teams & Punt Return Home-Run Threat (Lamply)
&/or Vegas Really Loves Huskers, at the same time
Like this So Miss Team a lot alsoThey still many struggle to string drives together vs. stout Run Defenses
Can't wait to find out
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It has moved b/c Edward gave NEB as a play
Yahoo CFB Pickem ATS Champ 168-111 60%
2011 Pregame Hilton 48-37 56%
2012 Pregame Hilton 52-33 61%
The line is jumping around. Now it is at Nebraska -6.5 (-110) 5Dimes
before saying the Huskers have done well in Big Games you might want to check Bo Pellini's record against teams ranked in the top 10....those my friend are big games...not a medicore Mich. State team in the regular season. They lost their ass at Virginia Tech and gave the game away in the final 2 minutes, lost 2 Big 12 championships to OU and Texas under his guideance.....
Washington is NOT a big game by any means and when we got them in a bowl game they kicked the shit out of us..I know because I went to it. Northwestern, Michigan, Wisconsin all killed NU last year....we were not even in those games..Northwestern beat us with a second string QB IN LINCOLN...again I know because I was there.........!!! Did you see South Carolina beat the tar out of us in a bowl game??? Again, those are big games....we got our ass handed to us.
No one on the planet likes to be down on the Huskers more than me...they are MY team....but laying 20 in season opener with a team who won a conference title last year is allot to ask of a middle of the pack 4 loss team from last year....in Lincoln or not...my 2 cents...
Nebraska a 4 loss team again this year..mark my words...
Regards, Tony George- Big 12 Expert, 21 Year Veteran Capper, Pregame Pro Handicapper - "I hate to lose, more than I Love to Win"
Tony, like you I have season tickets and travel to the big away games each year. So I have seen first hand how poorly Bo's teams have played. I was one of the few in my group that was adamant about not hiring a first time head coach to take over after Billy C. I caught a ton of flack initially but the fan base in general is starting to come around.
What bothers me more than only winning about 10% of his big games, is that under his watch he always seems to get beat or almost get beat(South Dakota St.), teams they should be dominating especially at home! I agree with around 4 losses, 3 regular season and another bowl loss. Hope we are wrong though.
I look forward to talking NU football with you throughout the year!
New coach Jim Mora is already lowering the expectations of the fans in case something goes wrong. He said yesterday, "We will try to win as fast as we can, but it does take time." His starting QB (Brett Hundley) will be a kid who hasn't played in a game in over a year - and THAT was in high school!! Mora has tons of pro experience but doesn't want to overwhelm the kid with 15-20 preprogrammed plays. He says, "We are just going to throw him out there and let him roll. We have a lot of confidence in Brett." Hundley comes highly regarded, but this is a big step up from high school. Something tells me he will try to do too much to prove himself and we may be seeing the more experienced Kevin Prince or Richard Brehaut in the mix before long... Can't wait for kickoff !!
The Professor has Spoken, Best of luck with this Play
MLB 10-8 CBB 48-33-5 CBB 1st Half 3-2 NBA 38-35 NHL 2-4 CFB BOWLS 9-9 NFL 37-26-2 CFL 38-42-3 NFL-X 22-16-1 MLB 64-47-3 WNBA 9-6 CBB 14-21 Tournament 7-11 NBA 10-8 2012 CFB 18-18-4 2011 NFL 13-16 Playoffs 4-4 NFLX 15-11 2011 WNBA 14-10 2011 NBA 11-7 2010/11 Playoffs 9-5-2 2011 CBB 16-9 2010/11 NFL 5-3 2010/11 Kentucky Derby winner 20-1 odds CFL 3-4 2010 NFL 23-20 2009 CFB 58-49-2 2009 CFB BOWLS 3-4 MLB 42-28-1 2009 (no play over -135) MLB 102-83-1 2008 NBA 68-54-1 2008 CBB 100-98-6 2008 CFB 88-71-2 2008 NFL 51-36-2 2008
You can now get Nebraska at -5. A great deal IMO. UCLA beat Rice last week and looked good, but Nebraska's Martinez will give them fits tomorrow in the Rose Bowl. Donkey's best bet of the day...Nebraska -5 (5Dimes)
Obviously we will see tommorrow, but the husker passing game looks promising.
In my mind it has never been about martinez beeing able to throw the ball.
Last year nobody could catch it!
His game from day 1 has been speed.