Colorado +8/55.5 vs Wash (Santa Clara, CA)
Difficult game to cap, it will likely comes down to coaching and TO's
Statistically overall Huskies are much better on offense (+10 ppg) and
about even on defense (+1 ppg) Take a look at 8 common opponents this year,
the gap is smaller with Huskies having a +6.8 ppg on offense and about even
on defense, and only +25 ypg advantage overall. When I filtered out and
look at performance vs 4 top defenses in PAC12 (USC, Stfd, Utah, Wash ST)
the Huskies offense has a significant advantage over the Buffs at +10 ppg
(Colorado offense ave. 23 ppg and Washington at 33.3 ppg) When faced
4 top offenses in PAC12 (USC, Oregon, Wash ST, Utah) the Huskies defense
also did better giving up just 22 ppg vs 26.3 ppg of the Buffs, and limited
those 4 opponents to 84 ypg less than the Buffs. The Huskies have a huge
advantage on yards per play on offense (6.4 ypp vs 5.2 ypp) as well as on
defense (allowed 5.1 ypp vs 5.9 ypp) when faced those teams above.
Both teams are excellent at gaining on TO's with Colorado stand at plus-10
and Washington at plus-18 TO's for the year.
I don't see the Buffs scoring a lot in this contest, and with their top scoring
defense they should be able to slow down the Huskies.
Pick: Under 55.5
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Ohio vs W. Michigan -16.5/59
The Bobcats improved slightly from last year while the Broncos are rolling
with 14 straight wins (dating back to 2015) The Broncos are playing for
an elusive New Year Bowl which is in reach with a convincing win today.
Last year they dominated the Bobcats, on the road, to the tune of 49-14
with a plus 213 in total yardage. I do not see much different this year
Pick: W Michigan -16.5