CFB Saturday !!!
Yesterday's Premium Play - 3*** Stan/Wash OV = WINNER !!
Yesterday's Free Play - None
***Nice way to enter the weekend hitting back to back 3*** wagers....Washington surprised me last night with how they played...A team that is now on my radar for sure..Little surprised Stanford didn't even show up last night..We get a big win and we get a blowout tonight with my first ever 5TD release..jump on this one, it's going to be fun !!..."We Cash Today" !!
Today's Free Play (1)
198 Iowa St. 16.5 (-110) Pinnacle vs 197 BaylorAnalysis: I learned some hard lessons about betting on teams going into Ames, Iowa...First off it's been a rule of thumb of mine...Don't bet teams going into Ames...It's just that simple...Either fade or pass...Well I'm going to fade the Bears here on the road...I know they are 4-0, but they haven't looked razor sharp...Laying this kind of number for a conference game is tough...The Cyclones always get up for big games and they should keep this one relatively close IMO....Baylor is a fast track kind of team...Playing on grass wont suit them well...The weather in Ames can change on a dime during the game and switch back with out notice...It's just a tough place to play and Iowa St. knows how things change...The crowd is always jamming and the fans will pack that place to the top for this one...Iowa State's record is just 1-3, but they have been tested this season...They had two tough road games Vs. Iowa and TCU....they have been getting better as the games have played out and a big 44-10 victory at home over San Jose St should give them a boost here...Iowa St has ironed out the QB issues they had and the running game is rather solid...Baylor has one of the worst rush defense in the nation...The last three games they gave up 176, 234, 213 yards on the ground...That's like 4.9/5+ypc....Not good at all and with a team that likes to run that can keep the Cyclones moving the chains and getting points on the board...I threw the first game out for Baylor which was Northwestern State....So it's plain as day that Baylor can't stop the run...The defense looks good, but they played bad teams...SMU, Rice & Northwestern St could be some of the weakest teams in the country....Yes they beat Oklahoma St, but that game was at home...That was a 7 pt game going into the 4th qtr and Oklahoma St turned the ball over 4 times...4 times !!..So just look at that and think a bit....Now give a team who plays at home and runs the ball well against a team that has been gifted extra possessions and easy teams to face....Baylor has actually gained a bunch of turnovers this year...They rank 14th and are +6 already this year....They have been lucky to get those turnovers IMO.....I can go on and on about some of the stats I uncovered..Bottom line is my number for this game was Baylor -12.5....I'll grab the +16.5 here.....Total sits at 60.5...that's not very high IMO....I can see one of those 38-23 type of games....This will be a true test for Baylor, but this is one tough place to play...I learned my lesson years back about laying Double Digits here with teams that look superior..It doesn't work out well..Small wager on the Cyclones.
5-1 / 3*** Run !!!
Best Of Luck !!