Friday, Nov. 27
NCAA Football
Miami Florida at Pittsburgh (-7, 55) (12 pm ET, espn2)
My power ratings make Pittsburgh a 7.5-point favorite over Miami Florida. The Panthers opened as 5.5-point home favorites, but money has pushed the line up to 7, and that has taken most of the line value away.
Pittsburgh has relied on their defense to win games this season; the Panthers are holding opponents to just 24.2 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. Those numbers have come against a group of offenses that average 31.4 points per game on 5.9 yards per play.
Miami has a good offense that is averaging 28.9 points per game on 6.0 yards per play, so Pittsburgh isn’t getting any breaks here. The Hurricanes’ defense has been weak while allowing 33.8 points per game on 6.4 yards per play on the road this season. But the Panthers’ offense may be set to regress after scoring 45 points on 459 yards last week.
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My strongest NCAA Football Best Bet for Friday is now posted:
/pregamepros/pro-bettor/bettor.aspx?id=223439#capper